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Dynamic impacts of lockdown on domestic violence: Evidence from multiple policy shifts in Chile

Author

Listed:
  • Bhalotra, Sonia
  • Britto, Emilia
  • Clarke, Damian
  • Larroulet, Pilar
  • Pino, Francisco J.

Abstract

We leverage staggered implementation of lockdown across Chile’s 346 municipalities, identifying dynamic impacts on domestic violence (DV). Using administrative data, we find lockdown imposition increases indicators of DV-related distress, while decreasing DV reports to the police. We identify male job loss as a mechanism driving distress, and female job loss as driving decreased reporting. Stimulus payments to poor households act on both margins, their impacts partially differentiated by lockdown status. Once lockdown is lifted, police reports surge but we see a ratchet effect in distress. Our findings accentuate the controversy around welfare impacts of lockdown mandates.

Suggested Citation

  • Bhalotra, Sonia & Britto, Emilia & Clarke, Damian & Larroulet, Pilar & Pino, Francisco J., 2022. "Dynamic impacts of lockdown on domestic violence: Evidence from multiple policy shifts in Chile," CEPR Discussion Papers 17254, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17254
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    2. Rocha, Fabiana & Diaz, Maria Dolores Montoya & Pereda, Paula Carvalho & Árabe, Isadora Bousquat & Cavalcanti, Filipe & Lordemus, Samuel & Kreif, Noemi & Moreno-Serra, Rodrigo, 2024. "COVID-19 and violence against women: Current knowledge, gaps, and implications for public policy," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    3. Michelle Escobar Carías & Victoria Baranov & Sonia Bhalotra & Pietro Biroli & Joanna Maselko, 2026. "Building Resilience Through Psychological Intervention," CESifo Working Paper Series 12939, CESifo.
    4. Jake Graceffo, 2024. "The impact of COVID‐19 stay‐at‐home orders on domestic violence assaults: A study of New South Wales," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(S1), pages 59-69, May.
    5. K. Pun Winichakul & Ning Zhang, 2026. "The Effect of Housing Access on Intimate Partner Violence: Evidence from the Family Options Study," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 26105, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
    6. Damian Clarke & Pilar Larroulet & Daniel Paila~nir & Daniela Quintana, 2022. "Schools as a Safety-net: The Impact of School Closures and Reopenings on Rates of Reporting of Violence Against Children," Papers 2206.14612, arXiv.org.
    7. Karimi, Arizo & Niknami, Susan & Ornstein, Petra & Sandberg, Anna & Mühlrad, Hanna, 2026. "Intimate Partner Violence Victimization and Perpetration: Risk Factors and Consequences," IZA Discussion Papers 18742, IZA Network @ LISER.
    8. Diaz, Maria Dolores Montoya & Pereda, Paula & Rocha, Fabiana & Oliveira, Pedro A.C. & Árabe, Isadora Bousquat & Kreif, Noemi & Lordemus, Samuel & Moreno-Serra, Rodrigo, 2025. "Public Policies and Femicides during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from São Paulo, Brazil," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. Escobar Carias, Michelle & Baranov, Victoria & Bhalotra, Sonia & Biroli, Pietro & Maselko, Joanna, 2026. "Building resilience through psychological intervention," CAGE Online Working Paper Series 819, Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (CAGE).
    10. Michelle Escobar Carías & Victoria Baranov & Sonia Bhalotra & Pietro Biroli & Joanna Maselko, 2026. "Building resilience through psychological intervention," RFBerlin Discussion Paper Series 26225, ROCKWOOL Foundation Berlin (RFBerlin).
    11. Bilge Erten & Pinar Keskin & Silvia Prina, 2022. "Social Distancing, Stimulus Payments, and Domestic Violence: Evidence from the US during COVID-19," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 112, pages 262-266, May.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J12 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Marriage; Marital Dissolution; Family Structure
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • H53 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Government Expenditures and Welfare Programs

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