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Revisión De Los Determinantes Macroeconómicos Del Consumo Total De Los Hogares Para El Caso Colombiano

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  • Juan Nicolás Hernández

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Abstract

A la luz de la historia comprendida en el periodo 1954-2002, que abarca episodios de creciente volatilidad en el producto para Colombia, el objetivo del trabajo es hallar empíricamente a partir de la información macroeconómica disponible y en el contexto de las diversas teorías, que variables guardan una relación de largo plazo con el consumo de los hogares y cuantificar su incidencia. Adicionalmente y partiendo de las especificaciones encontradas determinar la calidad del pronóstico, evaluando la posible contribución de su bondad a la discusión teórica. Dentro de los resultados se corrobora para el caso colombiano que la estructura demográfica no resulta tan relevante, el efecto negativo de la tasa de interés, el papel de la riqueza y el ingreso disponible, así como el rol del sistema financiero. Hacia el largo plazo los hogares con un mayor acceso al sistema financiero tenderían a ahorrar

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Nicolás Hernández, 2006. "Revisión De Los Determinantes Macroeconómicos Del Consumo Total De Los Hogares Para El Caso Colombiano," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003472, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:003472
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    Cited by:

    1. Ana María Iregui B. & Ligia Alba Melo B., 2009. "La transmisión de la política monetaria sobre el consumo en presencia de restricciones de liquidez," Borradores de Economia 547, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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