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Revisi�N De Los Determinantes Macroecon�Micos Del Consumo Total De Los Hogares Para El Caso Colombiano

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  • Juan Nicol�s Hern�ndez

Abstract

A la luz de la historia comprendida en el periodo 1954-2002, que abarca episodios de creciente volatilidad en el producto para Colombia, el objetivo del trabajo es hallar emp�ricamente a partir de la informaci�n macroecon�mica disponible y en el contexto de las diversas teor�as, que variables guardan una relaci�n de largo plazo con el consumo de los hogares y cuantificar su incidencia. Adicionalmente y partiendo de las especificaciones encontradas determinar la calidad del pron�stico, evaluando la posible contribuci�n de su bondad a la discusi�n te�rica. Dentro de los resultados se corrobora para el caso colombiano que la estructura demogr�fica no resulta tan relevante, el efecto negativo de la tasa de inter�s, el papel de la riqueza y el ingreso disponible, as� como el rol del sistema financiero. Hacia el largo plazo los hogares con un mayor acceso al sistema financiero tender�an a ahorrar

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Nicol�s Hern�ndez, 2006. "Revisi�N De Los Determinantes Macroecon�Micos Del Consumo Total De Los Hogares Para El Caso Colombiano," Borradores de Economia 3472, Banco de la Republica.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:003472
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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