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The Rise in Foreign Currency Bonds: The Role of US Monetary Policy and Capital Controls

Author

Listed:
  • Philippe Bacchetta

    (University of Lausanne; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); Swiss Finance Institute)

  • Rachel Cordonier

    (Swiss National Bank)

  • Ouarda Merrouche

    (University of Lausanne)

Abstract

An unintended consequence of loose US monetary policy is the increase in currency risk exposure abroad. Using firm-level data on corporate bond issuances in 17 emerging market economies (EME) between 2003 and 2015, we find that EME companies are more likely to issue bonds in foreign currency when US interest rates are low. This increase occurs across the board, including for firms more vulnerable to foreign exchange exposure, and is particularly strong for bonds issued in local markets. Interestingly, capital controls on bond inflows significantly decrease the likelihood of issuing in foreign currency and can even eliminate the adverse impact of low US interest rates. In contrast, macroprudential foreign exchange regulations tend to increase foreign currency issuances of non-financial corporates, although this effect can be significantly reduced using capital controls.

Suggested Citation

  • Philippe Bacchetta & Rachel Cordonier & Ouarda Merrouche, 2020. "The Rise in Foreign Currency Bonds: The Role of US Monetary Policy and Capital Controls," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 20-51, Swiss Finance Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp2051
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    Cited by:

    1. Hodula, Martin & Janků, Jan & Malovaná, Simona & Ngo, Ngoc Anh, 2024. "Geopolitical risks and their impact on global macro-financial stability: Literature and measurements," BOFIT Discussion Papers 9/2024, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    2. Gan-Ochir Doojav & Munkhbayar Gantumur, 2023. "An estimated model of a commodity-exporting economy for the integrated policy framework: evidence from Mongolia," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 20(4), pages 651-708, October.
    3. Chen, Na & Yang, Huan, 2024. "From rural to urban: Clan, urbanization and trust," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    4. Avdjiev, Stefan & Burger, John & Hardy, Bryan, 2025. "New spare tires: local currency credit as a global shock absorber," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Kristin J. Forbes, 2021. "The International Aspects of Macroprudential Policy," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 203-228, August.
    6. Ahnert, Toni & Forbes, Kristin & Friedrich, Christian & Reinhardt, Dennis, 2021. "Macroprudential FX regulations: Shifting the snowbanks of FX vulnerability?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 145-174.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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