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Cenários de mudanças climáticas e agricultura no Brasil: impactos econômicos na Região Nordeste

Author

Listed:
  • Edson Paulo Domingues

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Aline Souza Magalhães

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

  • Ricardo Machado Ruiz

    (Cedeplar-UFMG)

Abstract

This article examines the impact of climate change in the Northeast from estimates of the availability of land suitable for agricultural activity in a range of cultures. This information, based on global warming scenarios from the International Panel of Climate Change (IPCC), are introduced in an inter-regional computable general equilibrium model for Brazil, which allows analysis on various aspects of regional economic implications of this phenomenon. Our results indicate a high potential for economic losses in the Northeast, especially in poorer states, pointing to the need for policies to mitigate and control Greenhouse Gases (GHG) emissions. In the absence of such policies, the effects on employment can cause significant impacts on migratory flows, creating, for example, more pressure on infrastructure urban services in the metropolitan areas on the Northeast and other regions of the country.

Suggested Citation

  • Edson Paulo Domingues & Aline Souza Magalhães & Ricardo Machado Ruiz, 2008. "Cenários de mudanças climáticas e agricultura no Brasil: impactos econômicos na Região Nordeste," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG td340, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdp:texdis:td340
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    File URL: http://www.cedeplar.ufmg.br/pesquisas/td/TD%20340.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Eduardo Amaral Haddad & Edson Paulo Domingues & Fernando Salgueiro Perobelli & Eduardo Simões de Almeida & Carlos Roberto Azzoni & Joaquim J. M. & Guilhoto Fabio Kanczuk, 2010. "Impactos Econômicos Das Mudanças Climáticas No Brasil," Anais do XIV Seminário sobre a Economia Mineira [Proceedings of the 14th Seminar on the Economy of Minas Gerais],in: Anais do XIV Seminário sobre a Economia Mineira [Proceedings of the 14th Seminar on the Economy of Minas Gerais] Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    2. Gori Maia, Alexandre & Cesano, Daniele & Miyamoto, Bruno C.B. & Eusébio, Gabriela dos Santos & Andrade, Patricia, 2016. "Climate Change And Adaptive Strategies In Agriculture: Assessing The Impacts On Small Farmers In The Brazilian Sertão," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, 2016, Boston, Massachusetts 236255, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. repec:idb:brikps:64798 is not listed on IDEAS

    More about this item

    Keywords

    climate change; general equilibrium; regional economics Brazil;

    JEL classification:

    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies

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