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Analysis of the Performance of Mexican Pension Funds: Evidence from a Stationary Bootstrap Application

Author

Listed:
  • Arnulfo Rodríguez
  • Gerardo Zúñiga
  • Pedro N. Rodríguez

Abstract

This paper assesses the performance of Mexican pension funds (AFORES) by using an asset pricing model that includes macroeconomic factors and benchmark portfolios to explain returns. We apply a bootstrap statistical technique to obtain the cross-sectional distribution of performance measures (alphas) across all pension funds. This is done to determine whether a pension fund manager adds value to the portfolio before commissions charges, or if the performance observed, after controlling for the relevant factors, is simply explained by luck. Moreover, by comparing pension fund alphas to the distributions of alphas corresponding to lower rankings, we can find out if a particular fund statistically distinguishes itself from others. Our results provide evidence that pension funds managers do not add value to the portfolio and that funds are not distinguishable from each other.

Suggested Citation

  • Arnulfo Rodríguez & Gerardo Zúñiga & Pedro N. Rodríguez, 2008. "Analysis of the Performance of Mexican Pension Funds: Evidence from a Stationary Bootstrap Application," Working Papers 2008-02, Banco de México.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdm:wpaper:2008-02
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    File URL: http://www.banxico.org.mx/publicaciones-y-discursos/publicaciones/documentos-de-investigacion/banxico/%7B648F533A-DDFB-BCAA-E636-CA2607E5A777%7D.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Publishing House "SINERGIA PRESS", vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    2. Wayne E. Ferson & Sergei Sarkissian & Timothy T. Simin, 2003. "Spurious Regressions in Financial Economics?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(4), pages 1393-1414, August.
    3. Elton, Edwin J & Gruber, Martin J & Blake, Christopher R, 1995. " Fundamental Economic Variables, Expected Returns, and Bond Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 50(4), pages 1229-1256, September.
    4. Edwin J. Elton & Martin J. Gruber & Mustafa Gultekin, 1981. "Expectations and Share Prices," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 27(9), pages 975-987, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Pension funds; Performance evaluation; Stationary bootstrap;

    JEL classification:

    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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