IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2609.26964.html

Implicit Smooth Ambiguity: Perception, Attitude, and Identification

Author

Listed:
  • Kemal Ozbek

Abstract

This paper develops a model of identifiable smooth ambiguity in a finite-state Anscombe-Aumann framework in which ambiguity perception and the ambiguity-attitude representation may depend on the act's endogenous certainty-equivalent utility level. The framework separates two sources of utility-level dependence that standard smooth-ambiguity models hold fixed. Neutral-transfer experiments within revealed cells recover conditional beliefs, while compensation experiments across cells recover cell weights and locally revealed ambiguity-attitude scales. These objects have distinct behavioral content. After the within-level structure is extended globally, ambiguity perception is identified at each certainty-equivalent level, whereas variation in admissible level-specific global attitude indices need not by itself reflect behaviorally identified variation in ambiguity attitude. Cross-level restrictions determine when the locally revealed attitude scales can instead be represented by one common global ambiguity-attitude index. The baseline characterization yields a doubly implicit smooth-ambiguity representation with level-specific perception and potentially level-specific global attitude indices. Requiring one common ambiguity-attitude index gives an intermediate stable-attitude model in which only perception may vary; imposing perception stability as well yields standard identifiable smooth ambiguity within the maintained full-support, neutrally separated, fixed-partition environment with at least three revealed cells. The contribution is therefore a behavioral decomposition of utility-level dependence in smooth ambiguity into separately revealed perception and attitude components.

Suggested Citation

  • Kemal Ozbek, 2026. "Implicit Smooth Ambiguity: Perception, Attitude, and Identification," Papers 2609.26964, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.26964
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.26964
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cerreia-Vioglio, Simone & Maccheroni, Fabio & Marinacci, Massimo, 2022. "Ambiguity aversion and wealth effects," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    2. Ghirardato, Paolo & Marinacci, Massimo, 2002. "Ambiguity Made Precise: A Comparative Foundation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 102(2), pages 251-289, February.
    3. Dekel, Eddie, 1986. "An axiomatic characterization of preferences under uncertainty: Weakening the independence axiom," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 304-318, December.
    4. Tommaso Denti & Luciano Pomatto, 2022. "Model and Predictive Uncertainty: A Foundation for Smooth Ambiguity Preferences," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(2), pages 551-584, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kemal Ozbek, 2026. "Utility-Level-Dependent Ambiguity," Papers 2609.11748, arXiv.org.
    2. Payró, Fernando, 2025. "Mixture-betweenness: Uncertainty and commitment," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    3. Collin Raymond & Yangwei Song, 2026. "Risk and Monotone Comparative Statics without Independence," Papers 2601.10664, arXiv.org.
    4. Stoye, Jörg, 2011. "Axioms for minimax regret choice correspondences," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 146(6), pages 2226-2251.
    5. Borie, Dino, 2023. "Maxmin expected utility in Savage's framework," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    6. Alfonso Maselli, 2025. "Misspecification Averse Preferences," PIER Working Paper Archive 25-010, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    7. Hartmann, Lorenz, 2023. "Strength of preference over complementary pairs axiomatizes alpha-MEU preferences," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    8. Mukerji, Sujoy & Tallon, Jean-Marc, 2003. "Ellsberg's two-color experiment, portfolio inertia and ambiguity," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3-4), pages 299-316, June.
    9. David Dillenberger & Jay Lu, 2026. "Pure Risk," Papers 2608.29506, arXiv.org.
      • David Dillenberger & Jay Lu, 2026. "Pure Risk," PIER Working Paper Archive 26-011, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
    10. Mucahit Aygun & Roger J. A. Laeven & Mitja Stadje, 2025. "Higher-Order Ambiguity Attitudes," Papers 2501.13143, arXiv.org.
    11. Karni, Edi & Maccheroni, Fabio & Marinacci, Massimo, 2015. "Ambiguity and Nonexpected Utility," Handbook of Game Theory with Economic Applications,, Elsevier.
    12. Cerreia-Vioglio, Simone & Maccheroni, Fabio & Marinacci, Massimo & Montrucchio, Luigi, 2012. "Probabilistic sophistication, second order stochastic dominance and uncertainty aversion," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(5), pages 271-283.
    13. ,, 2014. "Second order beliefs models of choice under imprecise risk: non-additive second order beliefs vs. nonlinear second order utility," Theoretical Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 9(3), September.
    14. Simone Cerreia‐Vioglio & David Dillenberger & Pietro Ortoleva, 2015. "Cautious Expected Utility and the Certainty Effect," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 83, pages 693-728, March.
    15. Jingyi Xue, 2020. "Preferences with changing ambiguity aversion," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 69(1), pages 1-60, February.
    16. Arnaldo Camuffo & Alfonso Gambardella & Andrea Pignataro, 2024. "Theory-Driven Strategic Management Decisions," Strategy Science, INFORMS, vol. 9(4), pages 382-396, December.
    17. Michèle Cohen & Isaac Meilijson, 2011. "In search of a characterization of the preference for safety under the Choquet model," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 11031, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    18. Uzi Segal, 2021. "For all or exists?," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 1034, Boston College Department of Economics.
    19. Daniele Pennesi, 2013. "Endogenous Status Quo," Carlo Alberto Notebooks 314, Collegio Carlo Alberto.
    20. Zimper, Alexander, 2012. "Asset pricing in a Lucas fruit-tree economy with the best and worst in mind," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 610-628.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2609.26964. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.