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Dyadic data with ordered outcome variables

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  • Chris Muris
  • Cavit Pakel
  • Qichen Zhang

Abstract

We consider ordered logit models for directed network data that allow for flexible sender and receiver fixed effects that can vary arbitrarily across outcome categories. This structure poses a significant incidental parameter problem, particularly challenging under network sparsity or when some outcome categories are rare. We develop the first estimation method for this setting by extending tetrad-differencing conditional maximum likelihood (CML) techniques from binary choice network models. This approach yields conditional probabilities free of the fixed effects, enabling consistent estimation even under sparsity. Applying the CML principle to ordered data yields multiple likelihood contributions corresponding to different outcome thresholds. We propose and analyze two distinct estimators based on aggregating these contributions: an Equally-Weighted Tetrad Logit Estimator (ETLE) and a Pooled Tetrad Logit Estimator (PTLE). We prove PTLE is consistent under weaker identification conditions, requiring only sufficient information when pooling across categories, rather than sufficient information in each category. Monte Carlo simulations confirm the theoretical preference for PTLE, and an empirical application to friendship networks among Dutch university students demonstrates the method's value. Our approach reveals significant positive homophily effects for gender, smoking behavior, and academic program similarities, while standard methods without fixed effects produce counterintuitive results.

Suggested Citation

  • Chris Muris & Cavit Pakel & Qichen Zhang, 2025. "Dyadic data with ordered outcome variables," Papers 2507.16689, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2507.16689
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Das, Marcel & van Soest, Arthur, 1999. "A panel data model for subjective information on household income growth," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 409-426, December.
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    3. Gregori Baetschmann & Kevin E. Staub & Rainer Winkelmann, 2015. "Consistent estimation of the fixed effects ordered logit model," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 178(3), pages 685-703, June.
    4. Bryan S. Graham, 2017. "An econometric model of network formation with degree heterogeneity," CeMMAP working papers 08/17, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
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    6. Jason Abrevaya & Chris Muris, 2020. "Interval censored regression with fixed effects," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 198-216, March.
    7. Botosaru, Irene & Muris, Chris & Pendakur, Krishna, 2023. "Identification of time-varying transformation models with fixed effects, with an application to unobserved heterogeneity in resource shares," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 576-597.
    8. Bryan S. Graham, 2017. "An Econometric Model of Network Formation With Degree Heterogeneity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 85, pages 1033-1063, July.
    9. Baetschmann, Gregori, 2012. "Identification and estimation of thresholds in the fixed effects ordered logit model," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 416-418.
    10. Karyne B. Charbonneau, 2017. "Multiple fixed effects in binary response panel data models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 20(3), pages 1-13, October.
    11. Chris Muris, 2017. "Estimation in the Fixed-Effects Ordered Logit Model," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 99(3), pages 465-477, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Chris Muris & Cavit Pakel, 2025. "Triadic Network Formation," Papers 2509.26420, arXiv.org.

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