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Global Characterization of Equilibria in Tirole's (1985) Model with a Dividend-Paying Asset

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  • Ngoc-Sang Pham
  • Alexis Akira Toda

Abstract

We revisit Tirole's classic paper "Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations" (1985, Econometrica) in the case of a dividend-paying asset. Recently, Pham and Toda (2026) constructed a counterexample to Proposition 1(c), showing that Tirole's equilibrium classification is incorrect as stated and that long-run outcomes can depend on initial capital. This paper characterizes the entire set of equilibrium initial asset prices under capital over-accumulation. Exactly one of three regimes occurs: (i) a unique bubbleless equilibrium with capital converging to zero (capital collapse), (ii) a unique asymptotically bubbly equilibrium converging to a positive steady state (bubble necessity), or (iii) a continuum of equilibria with different long-run bubble behavior (indeterminacy). We further derive a threshold for initial capital under the bubble necessity condition, establish preference-free sufficient conditions for capital collapse, and show that the continuum in the pure bubble model survives sufficiently small dividend perturbations. Closed-form examples illustrate the possible long-run outcomes.

Suggested Citation

  • Ngoc-Sang Pham & Alexis Akira Toda, 2025. "Global Characterization of Equilibria in Tirole's (1985) Model with a Dividend-Paying Asset," Papers 2501.16560, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2026.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2501.16560
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bosi, Stefano & Le Van, Cuong & Pham, Ngoc-Sang, 2017. "Asset bubbles and efficiency in a generalized two-sector model," Mathematical Social Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 37-48.
    2. Kevin X.D. Huang & Jan Werner, 2000. "Asset price bubbles in Arrow-Debreu and sequential equilibrium," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 15(2), pages 253-278.
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    8. Grossman, Gene M. & Yanagawa, Noriyuki, 1993. "Asset bubbles and endogenous growth," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 3-19, February.
    9. Tirole, Jean, 1985. "Asset Bubbles and Overlapping Generations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 53(6), pages 1499-1528, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pham, Ngoc Sang & Le Van, Cuong & Bosi, Stefano, 2025. "To Bubble or Not to Bubble: Asset Price Dynamics and Optimality in OLG Economies," MPRA Paper 125772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Stefano Bosi & Cuong Le Van & Ngoc-Sang Pham, 2025. "To Bubble or Not to Bubble: Asset Price Dynamics and Optimality in OLG Economies," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-05199274, HAL.
    3. Tomohiro Hirano & Alexis Akira Toda, 2025. "Land and Infinite Debt Rollover," Papers 2508.16002, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2025.

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