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Topological Portfolio Selection and Optimization

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  • Yuanrong Wang
  • Antonio Briola
  • Tomaso Aste

Abstract

Modern portfolio optimization is centered around creating a low-risk portfolio with extensive asset diversification. Following the seminal work of Markowitz, optimal asset allocation can be computed using a constrained optimization model based on empirical covariance. However, covariance is typically estimated from historical lookback observations, and it is prone to noise and may inadequately represent future market behavior. As a remedy, information filtering networks from network science can be used to mitigate the noise in empirical covariance estimation, and therefore, can bring added value to the portfolio construction process. In this paper, we propose the use of the Statistically Robust Information Filtering Network (SR-IFN) which leverages the bootstrapping techniques to eliminate unnecessary edges during the network formation and enhances the network's noise reduction capability further. We apply SR-IFN to index component stock pools in the US, UK, and China to assess its effectiveness. The SR-IFN network is partially disconnected with isolated nodes representing lesser-correlated assets, facilitating the selection of peripheral, diversified and higher-performing portfolios. Further optimization of performance can be achieved by inversely proportioning asset weights to their centrality based on the resultant network.

Suggested Citation

  • Yuanrong Wang & Antonio Briola & Tomaso Aste, 2023. "Topological Portfolio Selection and Optimization," Papers 2310.14881, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2310.14881
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ledoit, Olivier & Wolf, Michael, 2004. "A well-conditioned estimator for large-dimensional covariance matrices," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(2), pages 365-411, February.
    2. Pier Francesco Procacci & Tomaso Aste, 2021. "Portfolio Optimization with Sparse Multivariate Modelling," Papers 2103.15232, arXiv.org.
    3. Barfuss, Wolfram & Massara, Guido Previde & Di Matteo, T. & Aste, Tomaso, 2016. "Parsimonious modeling with information filtering networks," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68860, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Tomaso Aste & T. Di Matteo, 2017. "Sparse Causality Network Retrieval from Short Time Series," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-13, November.
    5. Antonio Briola & Tomaso Aste, 2022. "Dependency structures in cryptocurrency market from high to low frequency," Papers 2206.03386, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.
    6. Danial Saef & Yuanrong Wang & Tomaso Aste, 2022. "Regime-based Implied Stochastic Volatility Model for Crypto Option Pricing," Papers 2208.12614, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2022.
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