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Ergodic robust maximization of asymptotic growth under stochastic volatility

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Listed:
  • David Itkin
  • Benedikt Koch
  • Martin Larsson
  • Josef Teichmann

Abstract

We consider an asymptotic robust growth problem under model uncertainty and in the presence of (non-Markovian) stochastic covariance. We fix two inputs representing the instantaneous covariance for the asset process $X$, which depends on an additional stochastic factor process $Y$, as well as the invariant density of $X$ together with $Y$. The stochastic factor process $Y$ has continuous trajectories but is not even required to be a semimartingale. Our setup allows for drift uncertainty in $X$ and model uncertainty for the local dynamics of $Y$. This work builds upon a recent paper of Kardaras & Robertson, where the authors consider an analogous problem, however, without the additional stochastic factor process. Under suitable, quite weak assumptions we are able to characterize the robust optimal trading strategy and the robust optimal growth rate. The optimal strategy is shown to be functionally generated and, remarkably, does not depend on the factor process $Y$. Our result provides a comprehensive answer to a question proposed by Fernholz in 2002. Mathematically, we use a combination of partial differential equation (PDE), calculus of variations and generalized Dirichlet form techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • David Itkin & Benedikt Koch & Martin Larsson & Josef Teichmann, 2022. "Ergodic robust maximization of asymptotic growth under stochastic volatility," Papers 2211.15628, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2211.15628
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ruf, Johannes & Xie, Kangjianan, 2020. "Impact of proportional transaction costs on systematically generated portfolios," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 104696, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Karatzas, Ioannis & Ruf, Johannes, 2017. "Trading strategies generated by Lyapunov functions," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 69177, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Minjung Gim & Gerald Trutnau, 2018. "Recurrence Criteria for Generalized Dirichlet Forms," Journal of Theoretical Probability, Springer, vol. 31(4), pages 2129-2166, December.
    4. Steven Campbell & Ting-Kam Leonard Wong, 2021. "Functional portfolio optimization in stochastic portfolio theory," Papers 2103.10925, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
    5. David Itkin & Martin Larsson, 2020. "Robust Asymptotic Growth in Stochastic Portfolio Theory under Long-Only Constraints," Papers 2009.08533, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2021.
    6. Larsson, Martin & Ruf, Johannes, 2021. "Relative arbitrage: sharp time horizons and motion by curvature," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 108546, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    7. Johannes Ruf & Kangjianan Xie, 2019. "Generalised Lyapunov Functions and Functionally Generated Trading Strategies," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(4), pages 293-327, July.
    8. Ioannis Karatzas & Johannes Ruf, 2017. "Trading strategies generated by Lyapunov functions," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 21(3), pages 753-787, July.
    9. David Itkin & Martin Larsson, 2021. "Open Markets and Hybrid Jacobi Processes," Papers 2110.14046, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    10. Cuchiero, Christa, 2019. "Polynomial processes in stochastic portfolio theory," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(5), pages 1829-1872.
    11. Tomoyuki Ichiba & Vassilios Papathanakos & Adrian Banner & Ioannis Karatzas & Robert Fernholz, 2009. "Hybrid Atlas models," Papers 0909.0065, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2011.
    12. Martin Larsson & Johannes Ruf, 2020. "Relative Arbitrage: Sharp Time Horizons and Motion by Curvature," Papers 2003.13601, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2021.
    13. Ruf, Johannes & Xie, Kangjianan, 2019. "Generalised Lyapunov functions and functionally generated trading strategies," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 102424, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    14. Martin Larsson & Johannes Ruf, 2021. "Relative arbitrage: Sharp time horizons and motion by curvature," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 885-906, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Christa Cuchiero & Janka Moller, 2023. "Signature Methods in Stochastic Portfolio Theory," Papers 2310.02322, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    2. David Itkin & Martin Larsson, 2024. "Calibrated rank volatility stabilized models for large equity markets," Papers 2403.04674, arXiv.org.

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