IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2002.06975.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Cross-sectional Stock Price Prediction using Deep Learning for Actual Investment Management

Author

Listed:
  • Masaya Abe
  • Kei Nakagawa

Abstract

Stock price prediction has been an important research theme both academically and practically. Various methods to predict stock prices have been studied until now. The feature that explains the stock price by a cross-section analysis is called a "factor" in the field of finance. Many empirical studies in finance have identified which stocks having features in the cross-section relatively increase and which decrease in terms of price. Recently, stock price prediction methods using machine learning, especially deep learning, have been proposed since the relationship between these factors and stock prices is complex and non-linear. However, there are no practical examples for actual investment management. In this paper, therefore, we present a cross-sectional daily stock price prediction framework using deep learning for actual investment management. For example, we build a portfolio with information available at the time of market closing and invest at the time of market opening the next day. We perform empirical analysis in the Japanese stock market and confirm the profitability of our framework.

Suggested Citation

  • Masaya Abe & Kei Nakagawa, 2020. "Cross-sectional Stock Price Prediction using Deep Learning for Actual Investment Management," Papers 2002.06975, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2002.06975
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2002.06975
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fama, Eugene F & French, Kenneth R, 1992. "The Cross-Section of Expected Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(2), pages 427-465, June.
    2. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    3. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    4. Robert F. Engle & Olivier Ledoit & Michael Wolf, 2019. "Large Dynamic Covariance Matrices," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(2), pages 363-375, April.
    5. Kei Nakagawa & Mitsuyoshi Imamura & Kenichi Yoshida, 2018. "Risk-Based Portfolios with Large Dynamic Covariance Matrices," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-14, May.
    6. Masaya Abe & Hideki Nakayama, 2018. "Deep Learning for Forecasting Stock Returns in the Cross-Section," Papers 1801.01777, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2018.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Tom Liu & Stephen Roberts & Stefan Zohren, 2023. "Deep Inception Networks: A General End-to-End Framework for Multi-asset Quantitative Strategies," Papers 2307.05522, arXiv.org.
    2. Shuang Zhang & Xingdong Feng, 2022. "Distributed identification of heterogeneous treatment effects," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 57-89, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Kei Nakagawa & Yusuke Uchiyama, 2020. "GO-GJRSK Model with Application to Higher Order Risk-Based Portfolio," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-12, November.
    2. Kwangmin Jung & Donggyu Kim & Seunghyeon Yu, 2021. "Next Generation Models for Portfolio Risk Management: An Approach Using Financial Big Data," Papers 2102.12783, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    3. Campbell, John Y. & Giglio, Stefano & Polk, Christopher & Turley, Robert, 2018. "An intertemporal CAPM with stochastic volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 207-233.
    4. Yusuke Uchiyama & Kei Nakagawa, 2020. "TPLVM: Portfolio Construction by Student’s t -Process Latent Variable Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-10, March.
    5. Choi, Jongmoo Jay & Jiang, Cao, 2009. "Does multinationality matter? Implications of operational hedging for the exchange risk exposure," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(11), pages 1973-1982, November.
    6. Vitor Azevedo & Christopher Hoegner, 2023. "Enhancing stock market anomalies with machine learning," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 60(1), pages 195-230, January.
    7. Choi, Jaewon & Richardson, Matthew, 2016. "The volatility of a firm's assets and the leverage effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 254-277.
    8. Benjamin R. Auer, 2019. "Does the strength of capital market anomalies exhibit seasonal patterns?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(1), pages 91-103, January.
    9. Huerta, Daniel & Egly, Peter V. & Escobari, Diego, 2015. "The Liquidity Crisis, Investor Sentiment, and REIT Returns and Volatility," EconStor Preprints 123499, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    10. Thilini V. Mahanama & Abootaleb Shirvani & Svetlozar Rachev, 2023. "The Financial Market of Indices of Socioeconomic Wellbeing," Papers 2303.05654, arXiv.org.
    11. Samih Antoine Azar, 2013. "The Spurious Relation between Inflation Uncertainty and Stock Returns: Evidence from the U.S," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 3, pages 99-109, November.
    12. Thisari K. Mahanama & Abootaleb Shirvani & Svetlozar Rachev & Frank J. Fabozzi, 2023. "The Financial Market of Environmental Indices," Papers 2308.15661, arXiv.org.
    13. Sebastien Valeyre & Sofiane Aboura & Denis Grebenkov, 2019. "The Reactive Beta Model," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 42(1), pages 71-113, March.
    14. M. Raddant & T. Di Matteo, 2023. "A look at financial dependencies by means of econophysics and financial economics," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 18(4), pages 701-734, October.
    15. Chen, Xiaoyu & Chiang, Thomas C., 2016. "Stock returns and economic forces—An empirical investigation of Chinese markets," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 45-65.
    16. Stefano D'Addona & Mattia Ciprian, 2007. "Time Varying Sensitivities On A Grid Architecture," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(02), pages 307-329.
    17. Caldeira, João F & Moura, Guilherme Valle & Santos, André Alves Portela, 2013. "Seleção de carteiras utilizando o modelo Fama-French-Carhart," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 67(1), April.
    18. Robert J Bianchi & Adam E Clements & Michael E Drew, 2009. "HACking at Non-linearity: Evidence from Stocks and Bonds," School of Economics and Finance Discussion Papers and Working Papers Series 244, School of Economics and Finance, Queensland University of Technology.
    19. Ke Zhang, 2023. "Adjust factor with volatility model using MAXFLAT low-pass filter and construct portfolio in China A share market," Papers 2304.04676, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2023.
    20. Boons, Martijn & Duarte, Fernando & de Roon, Frans & Szymanowska, Marta, 2020. "Time-varying inflation risk and stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(2), pages 444-470.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2002.06975. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.