IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/1910.01438.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Optimal Convergence Trading with Unobservable Pricing Errors

Author

Listed:
  • Suhan Altay
  • Katia Colaneri
  • Zehra Eksi

Abstract

We study a dynamic portfolio optimization problem related to convergence trading, which is an investment strategy that exploits temporary mispricing by simultaneously buying relatively underpriced assets and selling short relatively overpriced ones with the expectation that their prices converge in the future. We build on the model of Liu and Timmermann (2013) and extend it by incorporating unobservable Markov-modulated pricing errors into the price dynamics of two co-integrated assets. We characterize the optimal portfolio strategies in full and partial information settings both under the assumption of unrestricted and beta-neutral strategies. By using the innovations approach, we provide the filtering equation that is essential for solving the optimization problem under partial information. Finally, in order to illustrate the model capabilities, we provide an example with a two-state Markov chain.

Suggested Citation

  • Suhan Altay & Katia Colaneri & Zehra Eksi, 2019. "Optimal Convergence Trading with Unobservable Pricing Errors," Papers 1910.01438, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1910.01438
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/1910.01438
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rüdiger Frey & Abdelali Gabih & Ralf Wunderlich, 2012. "Portfolio Optimization Under Partial Information With Expert Opinions," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 15(01), pages 1-18.
    2. Lei, Yaoting & Xu, Jing, 2015. "Costly arbitrage through pairs trading," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-19.
    3. Tourin, Agnès & Yan, Raphael, 2013. "Dynamic pairs trading using the stochastic control approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 1972-1981.
    4. Suhan Altay & Katia Colaneri & Zehra Eksi, 2017. "Pairs Trading under Drift Uncertainty and Risk Penalization," Papers 1704.06697, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2018.
    5. Tomas Björk & Mark Davis & Camilla Landén, 2010. "Optimal investment under partial information," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 71(2), pages 371-399, April.
    6. Marcos Escobar & Daniela Neykova & Rudi Zagst, 2015. "Portfolio Optimization In Affine Models With Markov Switching," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 18(05), pages 1-46.
    7. Abe De Jong & Leonard Rosenthal & Mathijs A. Van Dijk, 2009. "The Risk and Return of Arbitrage in Dual-Listed Companies," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 13(3), pages 495-520.
    8. Frazzini, Andrea & Pedersen, Lasse Heje, 2014. "Betting against beta," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(1), pages 1-25.
    9. Álvaro Cartea & Sebastian Jaimungal, 2016. "Algorithmic Trading Of Co-Integrated Assets," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(06), pages 1-18, September.
    10. Sangmin Lee & Andrew Papanicolaou, 2016. "Pairs Trading Of Two Assets With Uncertainty In Co-Integration'S Level Of Mean Reversion," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(08), pages 1-36, December.
    11. Chiu, Mei Choi & Wong, Hoi Ying, 2011. "Mean-variance portfolio selection of cointegrated assets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 1369-1385, August.
    12. Yoichi Kuwana, 1995. "Certainty Equivalence And Logarithmic Utilities In Consumption/Investment Problems," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 5(4), pages 297-309, October.
    13. Sühan Altay & Katia Colaneri & Zehra Eksi, 2018. "Pairs Trading Under Drift Uncertainty And Risk Penalization," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(07), pages 1-24, November.
    14. Vijh, Anand M, 1994. "S&P 500 Trading Strategies and Stock Betas," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 7(1), pages 215-251.
    15. Luz Rocío Sotomayor & Abel Cadenillas, 2009. "Explicit Solutions Of Consumption‐Investment Problems In Financial Markets With Regime Switching," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(2), pages 251-279, April.
    16. Bahman Angoshtari, 2016. "On the Market-Neutrality of Optimal Pairs-Trading Strategies," Papers 1608.08268, arXiv.org.
    17. Rüdiger Frey & Abdelali Gabih & Ralf Wunderlich, 2012. "Portfolio Optimization Under Partial Information With Expert Opinions," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Matheus R Grasselli & Lane P Hughston (ed.), Finance at Fields, chapter 11, pages 265-282, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    18. Jun Liu & Allan Timmermann, 2013. "Optimal Convergence Trade Strategies," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(4), pages 1048-1086.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Katia Colaneri & Stefano Herzel & Marco Nicolosi, 2021. "The value of knowing the market price of risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 101-131, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sühan Altay & Katia Colaneri & Zehra Eksi, 2021. "Optimal convergence trading with unobservable pricing errors," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 133-161, April.
    2. Sühan Altay & Katia Colaneri & Zehra Eksi, 2018. "Pairs Trading Under Drift Uncertainty And Risk Penalization," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 21(07), pages 1-24, November.
    3. Suhan Altay & Katia Colaneri & Zehra Eksi, 2017. "Pairs Trading under Drift Uncertainty and Risk Penalization," Papers 1704.06697, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2018.
    4. Katia Colaneri & Stefano Herzel & Marco Nicolosi, 2021. "The value of knowing the market price of risk," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 101-131, April.
    5. Bahman Angoshtari & Tim Leung, 2019. "Optimal dynamic basis trading," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 307-335, September.
    6. Flavio Angelini & Katia Colaneri & Stefano Herzel & Marco Nicolosi, 2021. "Implicit incentives for fund managers with partial information," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 539-561, October.
    7. Zequn Li & Agnès Tourin, 2022. "A Finite Difference Scheme for Pairs Trading with Transaction Costs," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 60(2), pages 601-632, August.
    8. P. S. Lintilhac & A. Tourin, 2017. "Model-based pairs trading in the bitcoin markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 703-716, May.
    9. Lei, Yaoting & Xu, Jing, 2015. "Costly arbitrage through pairs trading," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-19.
    10. Fenghui Yu & Wai-Ki Ching & Chufang Wu & Jia-Wen Gu, 2023. "Optimal Pairs Trading Strategies: A Stochastic Mean–Variance Approach," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 196(1), pages 36-55, January.
    11. Krauss, Christopher, 2015. "Statistical arbitrage pairs trading strategies: Review and outlook," FAU Discussion Papers in Economics 09/2015, Friedrich-Alexander University Erlangen-Nuremberg, Institute for Economics.
    12. Zongxia Liang & Qi Ye, 2024. "Optimal information acquisition for eliminating estimation risk," Papers 2405.09339, arXiv.org.
    13. Alessandra Cretarola & Benedetta Salterini, 2023. "Utility-based indifference pricing of pure endowments in a Markov-modulated market model," Papers 2301.13575, arXiv.org.
    14. E. Boguslavskaya & M. Boguslavsky & D. Muravey, 2020. "Trading multiple mean reversion," Papers 2009.09816, arXiv.org.
    15. Abdelali Gabih & Hakam Kondakji & Ralf Wunderlich, 2022. "Well Posedness of Utility Maximization Problems Under Partial Information in a Market with Gaussian Drift," Papers 2205.08614, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    16. Kristoffer Lindensjö, 2016. "Optimal investment and consumption under partial information," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 83(1), pages 87-107, February.
    17. Kexin Chen & Hoi Ying Wong, 2022. "Duality in optimal consumption--investment problems with alternative data," Papers 2210.08422, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2023.
    18. Zehra Eksi & Hyejin Ku, 2017. "Portfolio optimization for a large investor under partial information and price impact," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 86(3), pages 601-623, December.
    19. Kristoffer Lindensjö, 2016. "Optimal investment and consumption under partial information," Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research (GOR);Nederlands Genootschap voor Besliskunde (NGB), vol. 83(1), pages 87-107, February.
    20. Suhan Altay & Katia Colaneri & Zehra Eksi, 2017. "Portfolio optimization for a large investor controlling market sentiment under partial information," Papers 1706.03567, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1910.01438. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.