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Threshold Regressions for the Resource Curse

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the behavior of cross-country growth rates with respect to resource abundance and dependence. We reject the linear model that is commonly-used in growth regressions in favor of a multiple-regime alternative. Using a formal sample-splitting method, we find that countries exhibit different behaviors with respect to natural resources depending on their initial level of development. In high-income countries, natural resources play only a minor role in explaining the differences in national growth rates. On the contrary, in low-income countries abundance seems to be a blessing but dependence restricts growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Nicolas Clootens & Djamel Kirat, 2018. "Threshold Regressions for the Resource Curse," AMSE Working Papers 1841, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
    • Handle: RePEc:aim:wpaimx:1841
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    File URL: https://www.amse-aixmarseille.fr/sites/default/files/_dt/2012/wp_2018_-_nr_41.pdf
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    2. Wang, Haotian & Hao, Liang & Wang, Weizheng & Chen, Xingyu, 2023. "Natural resources lineage, high technology exports and economic performance: RCEP economies perspective of human capital and energy resources efficiency," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PA).
    3. Lotfalipour, Mohammad Reza & sargolzaie, Ali & Salehnia, Narges, 2022. "Natural resources: A curse on welfare?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Xia, Liangke & Wan, Lijiang & Wang, Weizheng & Luo, Jian & Yan, Jiale, 2023. "Energy accessibility via natural resources: Do natural resources ensure energy accessibility in low income countries?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O11 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)

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