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Modelling Policies for Multifunctional Agriculture and Rural Development in a Remote EU Region (Caithness & Sutherland, Scotland, UK)

Author

Listed:
  • Bergmann, Holger
  • Thomson, Kenneth J.

Abstract

A modified version of a system dynamics model constructed for an EU-wide case-study project (TOPMARD) using STELLA software was used to simulate the effects of a number of development scenarios for a remote rural area in Northern Scotland, i.e. Caithness & Sutherland, which is characterised by multifunctional agriculture. In this paper, the context of the modelling work in policy and socioeconomic terms is first described. This is followed by the specification of the model and of the modelling scenarios, one of which relates to the “decommissioning” (run-down) of a major industrial site (Dounreay) within the area. The modelling results are discussed, in terms of regional population, land use, economic and other terms, from 2001 to 2015/2031. Finally, some conclusions are drawn, both about the implications of the results for such remote rural regions, and the usefulness of this type of modelling exercise for policy analysis of multifunctionality and rural development.

Suggested Citation

  • Bergmann, Holger & Thomson, Kenneth J., 2008. "Modelling Policies for Multifunctional Agriculture and Rural Development in a Remote EU Region (Caithness & Sutherland, Scotland, UK)," 107th Seminar, January 30-February 1, 2008, Sevilla, Spain 6596, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa107:6596
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    Cited by:

    1. Dax, Thomas & Hovorka, Gerhard & Hocevar, Vida & Juvancic, Luka, 6. "Comparative analysis of territorial impacts of multifunctional agriculture," Rural Areas and Development, European Rural Development Network, vol. 6.
    2. Guenther-Lubbers, Welf & Theuvsen, Ludwig, 2014. "Regionalökonomische Effekte Der Niedersächsischen Biogasproduktion," 54th Annual Conference, Goettingen, Germany, September 17-19, 2014 187426, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).

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