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Taxation, Uncertainty and the Choice of a Consumption Tax Base

In: TAXATION IN THEORY AND PRACTICE Selected Essays of George R. Zodrow

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  • George R. Zodrow

Abstract

Several observers have concluded that the equivalence between the cash flow and wage tax approaches to direct consumption taxation breaks down in the presence of uncertainty, as individuals with extraordinarily large gains are treated too generously under the latter approach. In particular, Ahsan (Journal of Public Economics, 1989, 40, 99–134; Canadian Journal of Economics, 1990, 23, 408–433) contends that equivalence obtains only if returns in excess of a safe rate of return are included in the wage tax base. This paper constructs an alternative and arguably more plausible model under which full equivalence between the two approaches obtains even in the presence of uncertainty. It also derives Ahsan’s result in a more general context, and demonstrates that the divergence between the two analyses is attributable to different assumptions regarding the cost to the government of an uncertain revenue stream.

Suggested Citation

  • George R. Zodrow, 2019. "Taxation, Uncertainty and the Choice of a Consumption Tax Base," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: George R Zodrow (ed.), TAXATION IN THEORY AND PRACTICE Selected Essays of George R. Zodrow, chapter 8, pages 227-237, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    • Handle: RePEc:wsi:wschap:9789811205149_0008
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    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Kramer, Frank, 2009. "Symmetric cash flow-taxation and cross-border investments," Bayreuth Working Papers on Finance, Accounting and Taxation (FAcT-Papers) 2009-03, University of Bayreuth, Chair of Finance and Banking.
    3. Paolo M. Panteghini, 2009. "On the equivalence between labor and consumption taxation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(2), pages 622-629.
    4. David F. Bradford, 2003. "The X Tax in the World Economy," Working Papers 109, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    5. David F. Bradford, 2003. "The X Tax in the World Economy," Working Papers 109, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Center for Economic Policy Studies..
    6. Syed M. Ahsan & Panagiotis Tsigaris, 2009. "The Efficiency Loss of Capital Income Taxation under Imperfect Loss Offset Provisions," Public Finance Review, , vol. 37(6), pages 710-731, November.
    7. Dirk Schindler, 2008. "Taxing Risky Capital Income - A Commodity Taxation Approach," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 64(3), pages 311-333, September.
    8. Kent A. Smetters, 2003. "Trading with the Unborn: A New Perspective on Capital Income Taxation," NBER Working Papers 9412, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    9. Bradford, David F, 2003. "Addressing the Transfer-Pricing Problem in an Origin-Basis X Tax," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 10(5), pages 591-610, September.
    10. McLure, Charles E, 1996. "The US debate on comsuption-based taxes: implication for the Americas," Sede de la CEPAL en Santiago (Estudios e Investigaciones) 34292, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    11. Spencer Bastani & Sebastian Koehne, 2024. "How Should Consumption Be Taxed?," FinanzArchiv: Public Finance Analysis, Mohr Siebeck, Tübingen, vol. 80(3), pages 259-302.
    12. Syed Ahsan & Peter Tsigaris, 1998. "The design of a consumption tax under capital risk," Journal of Economics, Springer, vol. 68(1), pages 53-78, February.
    13. Ira Horowitz & R. Horowitz, 1999. "Risky Assets and the Choice of Tax Base," Public Finance Review, , vol. 27(5), pages 467-480, September.
    14. Igor Kotlán & Zuzana Machová & Lenka Janíčková, 2011. "Vliv zdanění na dlouhodobý ekonomický růst [Taxation Influence on the Economic Growth]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2011(5), pages 638-658.
    15. repec:pri:cepsud:93bradford is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Sanjit Dhami, 2002. "Optimal Consumption Taxes and Social Security Under Tax Measurement Problems and Uncertainty," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 9(6), pages 673-685, November.
    17. William M. Gentry & R. Glenn Hubbard, 1997. "Distributional Implications of Introducing a Broad-Based Consumption Tax," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 11, pages 1-48, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Sialm, Clemens, 2006. "Stochastic taxation and asset pricing in dynamic general equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 511-540, March.

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