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The effect of inflation and interest rates on forward-looking effective tax rates

Author

Listed:
  • Spengel, Christoph
  • Heckemeyer, Jost Henrich
  • Streif, Frank

Abstract

[Objective] Every year ZEW Mannheim computes measures of corporate effective taxation in Europe based on the Devereux/Griffith methodology. The measures aim at comprehensively reflecting and consistently comparing the effective corporate tax levels in the different member states. For the computation of the effective tax rates, assumptions on economic parameters have to be made - in particular on the values of the inflation and interest rate. Common assumptions on these variables are strictly necessary in order to compare effective levels of taxation across countries in a meaningful way. In some cases these assumptions could interact with the effects of specific tax parameters on the effective tax burdens. For example, capital allowances become less effective in reducing tax burdens in inflationary environments. As a consequence, countries with high capital allowances appear more attractive when inflation is low. This study aims at analysing and quantifying the effect of the real interest and inflation rate on effective tax measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Spengel, Christoph & Heckemeyer, Jost Henrich & Streif, Frank, 2016. "The effect of inflation and interest rates on forward-looking effective tax rates," ZEW Expertises, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research, volume 63, number 148154.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:zewexp:148154
    DOI: 10.2778/020392
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Devereux, Michael P & Griffith, Rachel, 2003. "Evaluating Tax Policy for Location Decisions," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 10(2), pages 107-126, March.
    2. Lisa Evers & Helen Miller & Christoph Spengel, 2015. "Intellectual property box regimes: effective tax rates and tax policy considerations," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 22(3), pages 502-530, June.
    3. Lukasz Rachel & Thomas Smith, 2015. "Secular drivers of the global real interest rate," Bank of England Staff Working Paper series 571, Bank of England.
    4. Bräutigam, Rainer & Spengel, Christoph & Streif, Frank, 2015. "Decline of CFC rules and rise of IP boxes: How the ECJ affects tax competition and economic distortions in Europe," ZEW Discussion Papers 15-055, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    5. Ulrich Schreiber & Christoph Spengel & Lothar Lammersen, 2002. "Measuring The Impact Of Taxation On Investment And Financing Decisions," Schmalenbach Business Review (sbr), LMU Munich School of Management, vol. 54(1), pages 2-23, January.
    6. European Commission, 2001. "Company Taxation in the Internal Market," Taxation Studies 0005, Directorate General Taxation and Customs Union, European Commission.
    7. Lammersen, Lothar, 2002. "Investment Decisions and Tax Revenues Under an Allowance for Corporate Equity," ZEW Discussion Papers 02-47, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    8. Zew, 2015. "EFFECTIVE TAX LEVELS USING THE DEVEREUX/GRIFFITH METHODOLOGY, Update 2015," Taxation Studies 0063, Directorate General Taxation and Customs Union, European Commission.
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    Cited by:

    1. Indriyana Puspitosari & Hadri Kusuma & Johan Arifin, 2026. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Tax Avoidance and the Moderating Role of Public Governance," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 1, pages 20-37.
    2. Elias Steinmüller & Georg U. Thunecke & Georg Wamser, 2019. "Corporate income taxes around the world: a survey on forward-looking tax measures and two applications," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 26(2), pages 418-456, April.
    3. Spengel, Christoph & Fischer, Leonie & Stutzenberger, Kathrin, 2020. "Breaking borders? The European Court of Justice and internal market," ZEW Discussion Papers 20-059, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    4. Alena Andrejovska & Jozef Glova & Martina Regaskova & Natalia Slyvkanyc, 2024. "The impact of the effective tax rate change on financial assets of commercial banks: The case of Visegrad group countries," E&M Economics and Management, Technical University of Liberec, Faculty of Economics, vol. 27(1), pages 175-191, March.

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