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Inflation and Disinflation

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  • Leiderman, Leonardo

Abstract

During the early 1980s, Israel's inflation rate rose to almost 500% per year—one of the highest inflation rates in the developed world. In 1985, the Israeli government implemented a program that immediately reduced inflation to 15%-20%, where it remained for the rest of the decade. How did the economy deal with these major changes so rapidly and successfully? In these eighteen articles, Leonardo Leiderman discusses why the Israeli plan worked and considers how other countries might benefit from similar policies. Even though standard economic models predict that output will drop and unemployment will rise during disinflation, Israel saw a boom in private consumption and large increases in real wages that lasted for about three years. To understand how the effects of Israeli disinflation policies defied typical expectations, Leiderman investigates how monetary fiscal policy determined Israel's runaway inflation and how the country brought its economy abruptly under control. He finds that rates of inflation and consumption depend on the public's expectations about future fiscal adjustments and that foreign trade shocks do not inevitably lead to a long-term rise in the inflation rate. His illumination of international trade and domestic policies, past and present, will interest academic economists and policymakers alike.

Suggested Citation

  • Leiderman, Leonardo, 1993. "Inflation and Disinflation," University of Chicago Press Economics Books, University of Chicago Press, edition 1, number 9780226471105, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:bkecon:9780226471105
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Esteban Posada, 1995. "El Costo de la Inflación(con Racionalidad y Previsión Perfectas)," Borradores de Economia 030, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    2. Hande Kucuk-Tuger & Burc Tuger, 2004. "Relative Price Variability : The Case of Turkey 1994-2002," Central Bank Review, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey, vol. 4(2), pages 1-40.
    3. Alexander W. Hoffmaister & Carlos A. Végh, 1996. "Disinflation and The Recession-Now-versus-Recession-Later Hypothesis: Evidence from Uruguay," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 43(2), pages 355-394, June.
    4. Carlos Esteban Posada, 1995. "EL COSTO DE INFLACIÓN (Con Racionalidad y Previsión Perfectas)," Borradores de Economia 2477, Banco de la Republica.
    5. Kaminsky, Graciela L. & Leiderman, Leonardo, 1998. "High real interest rates in the aftermath of disinflation: is it a lack of credibility?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 55(1), pages 191-214, February.
    6. Guy Debelle & Miguel A Savastano & Paul R Masson & Sunil Sharma, 1998. "Inflation Targeting as a Framework for Monetary Policy," IMF Economic Issues 15, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Arman Mansoorian & Mohammed Mohsin, 2010. "The Effects of Inflation in a Small Open Economy with Durability in Consumption," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 221-236, April.
    8. Stanley Fischer & Ratna Sahay & Carlos A. Végh, 2002. "Modern Hyper- and High Inflations," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 40(3), pages 837-880, September.
    9. Julio A. Santaella & Mr. Abraham Everardo Vela, 1996. "The 1987 Mexican Disinflation Program: An Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilization?," IMF Working Papers 1996/024, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Julio A. Santaella & Abraham E. Vela, 2005. "The 1987 Mexican Disinflation Program: An Exchange-rate-based Stabilization?," Economía Mexicana NUEVA ÉPOCA, CIDE, División de Economía, vol. 0(1), pages 5-40, January-J.

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