IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/zib/zbesmy/v3y2019i2p09-15.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modelling Surface Run-off Response Using Hydrological Model Swat in The Upper Watershed of River Subarnarekha, India

Author

Listed:
  • Pipas Kumar

    (Research Scholar, University School of Environment Management, Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University, New Delhi, India)

  • Varun Joshi

    (Professor, University School of Environment Management, Guru Gobind Singh Indraprastha University, New Delhi, India)

Abstract

Climate change is believed to affect the hydrological pattern of a watershed. The current paper evaluates the ability of a hydrological model Soil and Water assessment Tool (SWAT) to create a scenario of precipitation on the upper watershed of River Subarnarekha, Ranchi, in the state of Jharkhand, India. Sequential uncertainty fitting (SUFI-2) algorithm has been applied for model calibration and uncertainty analysis. The sensitivity analysis was made using a built-in SWAT sensitivity analysis tool that uses the Latin Hypercube One-factor-At-a-Time. The model parameters were calibrated (2001-2005) and validated (2013-2017) with discharge data obtained from CWC hydrological observatory site, Muri (Ranchi). In this study, IPCC SRES A1B Scenario, PRECIS RCM for time slices, near century (2011–2040, or 2020s), mid century (2041–2070, or 2050s) and end century (2071–2098, or 2080s) extracted by Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune (India) have been used for the study The analysis shows that the mean annual rainfall will slightly decrease by 19.4 mm (1.4%) in the 2020s, increase by 86.2 mm (6.2%) in the 2050s, and further increase by 126 mm (9.1%) in the 2080s. For the 2020s, surface runoff shows an average annual decrease by 18.4%. For the 2050s and 2080s, there is an average annual increase by 11.8% and 38.2% respectively. It may be concluded that the precipitation pattern of the climate projections has a significant impact on water balance components. This study will be useful to take timely decisions for the best possible options to mitigate the impact of climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Pipas Kumar & Varun Joshi, 2019. "Modelling Surface Run-off Response Using Hydrological Model Swat in The Upper Watershed of River Subarnarekha, India," Earth Sciences Malaysia (ESMY), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 3(2), pages 09-15, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:zib:zbesmy:v:3:y:2019:i:2:p:09-15
    DOI: 10.26480/esmy.02.2019.09.15
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://earthsciencesmalaysia.com/download/13647/
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.26480/esmy.02.2019.09.15?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew G. Turner & H. Annamalai, 2012. "Climate change and the South Asian summer monsoon," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(8), pages 587-595, August.
    2. Bhumika Uniyal & Madan Jha & Arbind Verma, 2015. "Assessing Climate Change Impact on Water Balance Components of a River Basin Using SWAT Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(13), pages 4767-4785, October.
    3. Pipas Kumar & Varun Joshi, 2019. "A Geospatial- Statistical Approach To Alienate Priority Area Of Upper Watershed Of River Subarnarekha Using Morphometric Assessment Framework," Malaysian Journal of Geosciences (MJG), Zibeline International Publishing, vol. 3(1), pages 21-31, January.
    4. Ashok Mishra & S. Kar & V. Singh, 2007. "Prioritizing Structural Management by Quantifying the Effect of Land Use and Land Cover on Watershed Runoff and Sediment Yield," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(11), pages 1899-1913, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Junhua Yang & Shichang Kang & Deliang Chen & Lin Zhao & Zhenming Ji & Keqin Duan & Haijun Deng & Lekhendra Tripathee & Wentao Du & Mukesh Rai & Fangping Yan & Yuan Li & Robert R. Gillies, 2022. "South Asian black carbon is threatening the water sustainability of the Asian Water Tower," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Deg-Hyo Bae & Toshio Koike & Jehangir Awan & Moon-Hwan Lee & Kyung-Hwan Sohn, 2015. "Climate Change Impact Assessment on Water Resources and Susceptible Zones Identification in the Asian Monsoon Region," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5377-5393, November.
    3. Singh, Amarendra Pratap & Narayanan, Krishnan, 2016. "How can weather affect crop area diversity? Panel data evidence from Andhra Pradesh, a rice growing state of India," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 118(2), pages 1-10, August.
    4. Phong Nguyen Thanh & Thinh Le Van & Tuan Tran Minh & Tuyen Huynh Ngoc & Worapong Lohpaisankrit & Quoc Bao Pham & Alexandre S. Gagnon & Proloy Deb & Nhat Truong Pham & Duong Tran Anh & Vuong Nguyen Din, 2023. "Adapting to Climate-Change-Induced Drought Stress to Improve Water Management in Southeast Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-27, June.
    5. G. Schrier & L. M. Rasmijn & J. Barkmeijer & A. Sterl & W. Hazeleger, 2018. "The 2010 Pakistan floods in a future climate," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 148(1), pages 205-218, May.
    6. Juliana Freitas Santos & Udo Schickhoff & Shabeh ul Hasson & Jürgen Böhner, 2023. "Biogeophysical Effects of Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes in South Asia: An Analysis of CMIP6 Models," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-25, April.
    7. Mark Rosenzweig & christopher Udry, 2013. "Forecasting Profitability," Working Papers 1029, Economic Growth Center, Yale University.
    8. Carolina Natel Moura & Sílvio Luís Rafaeli Neto & Claudia Guimarães Camargo Campos & Eder Alexandre Schatz Sá, 2020. "Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change in a Well-preserved Upland Watershed," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(8), pages 2255-2267, June.
    9. Ajay Gajanan Bhave & Neha Mittal & Ashok Mishra & Narendra Singh Raghuwanshi, 2016. "Integrated Assessment of no-Regret Climate Change Adaptation Options for Reservoir Catchment and Command Areas," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(3), pages 1001-1018, February.
    10. Jaewon Jung & Sungeun Jung & Junhyeong Lee & Myungjin Lee & Hung Soo Kim, 2021. "Analysis of Small Hydropower Generation Potential: (2) Future Prospect of the Potential under Climate Change," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-26, May.
    11. Joshua N. Jones & Sarah J. Boulton & Martin Stokes & Georgina L. Bennett & Michael R. Z. Whitworth, 2021. "30-year record of Himalaya mass-wasting reveals landscape perturbations by extreme events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-15, December.
    12. Santosh Thampi & Kolladi Raneesh & T. Surya, 2010. "Influence of Scale on SWAT Model Calibration for Streamflow in a River Basin in the Humid Tropics," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(15), pages 4567-4578, December.
    13. Md. Nazir Hossain & Swapna Chowdhury & Shitangsu Kumar Paul, 2016. "Farmer-level adaptation to climate change and agricultural drought: empirical evidences from the Barind region of Bangladesh," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 83(2), pages 1007-1026, September.
    14. Swati Maurya & Prashant K. Srivastava & Lu Zhuo & Aradhana Yaduvanshi & R. K. Mall, 2023. "Future Climate Change Impact on the Streamflow of Mahi River Basin Under Different General Circulation Model Scenarios," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2675-2696, May.
    15. Kashish Sadhwani & T. I. Eldho, 2023. "Assessing the Vulnerability of Water Balance to Climate Change at River Basin Scale in Humid Tropics: Implications for a Sustainable Water Future," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-19, June.
    16. Andrea Karin Barrueto & Juerg Merz & Nicole Clot & Thomas Hammer, 2017. "Climate Changes and Their Impact on Agricultural Market Systems: Examples from Nepal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-16, November.
    17. Junyu Qi & Sheng Li & Qiang Li & Zisheng Xing & Charles P.-A. Bourque & Fan-Rui Meng, 2016. "Assessing an Enhanced Version of SWAT on Water Quantity and Quality Simulation in Regions with Seasonal Snow Cover," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(14), pages 5021-5037, November.
    18. Tuantuan Zhang & Xingwen Jiang & Song Yang & Junwen Chen & Zhenning Li, 2022. "A predictable prospect of the South Asian summer monsoon," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    19. Elizabeth Kopits & Alex L. Marten & Ann Wolverton, 2013. "Moving Forward with Incorporating "Catastrophic" Climate Change into Policy Analysis," NCEE Working Paper Series 201301, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Jan 2013.
    20. Netrananda Sahu & Atul Saini & Swadhin Behera & Takahiro Sayama & Sridhara Nayak & Limonlisa Sahu & Weili Duan & Ram Avtar & Masafumi Yamada & R. B. Singh & Kaoru Takara, 2020. "Impact of Indo-Pacific Climate Variability on Rice Productivity in Bihar, India," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-21, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zib:zbesmy:v:3:y:2019:i:2:p:09-15. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Zibeline International Publishing (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://earthsciencesmalaysia.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.