IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/syseng/v20y2017i2p158-172.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Resilience in Complex Systems: An Agent‐Based Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Gloria Pumpuni‐Lenss
  • Timothy Blackburn
  • Andreas Garstenauer

Abstract

This paper presents results from a research project on the behavior of complex systems after they experience disruptive events that impact their performance. As systems become more complex, the probability increases that they will exhibit emergent behavior that could lead to system failures or widespread and prolonged service interruptions. A complex adaptive system (CAS) approach is used to conceptualize a complex network system that has been impacted by disruptions and perturbations. A combination of network analysis and agent‐based modeling is used to measure the performance of the system as it responds to disruptive events and restoration efforts. This system‐level behavior is an emergent property of the complex network and represents system resilience. Various resilience measures are used to quantify system resilience and assess the effectiveness of strategies system owners employ to restore the system. We illustrate our techniques by characterizing a critical infrastructure system network as a CAS, and applying an agent‐based simulation with an adaptive algorithm.

Suggested Citation

  • Gloria Pumpuni‐Lenss & Timothy Blackburn & Andreas Garstenauer, 2017. "Resilience in Complex Systems: An Agent‐Based Approach," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 20(2), pages 158-172, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:syseng:v:20:y:2017:i:2:p:158-172
    DOI: 10.1002/sys.21387
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1002/sys.21387
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1002/sys.21387?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Theresa Brown & Walt Beyeler & Dianne Barton, 2004. "Assessing infrastructure interdependencies: the challenge of risk analysis for complex adaptive systems," International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 1(1), pages 108-117.
    2. Rocco S, Claudio M. & Ramirez-Marquez, José Emmanuel, 2009. "Deterministic network interdiction optimization via an evolutionary approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(2), pages 568-576.
    3. William B. Rouse, 2007. "Complex engineered, organizational and natural systems," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 10(3), pages 260-271, September.
    4. Philip Anderson, 1999. "Perspective: Complexity Theory and Organization Science," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 10(3), pages 216-232, June.
    5. Scott Jackson & Timothy L. J. Ferris, 2013. "Resilience principles for engineered systems," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 16(2), pages 152-164, June.
    6. Payuna Uday & Karen Marais, 2015. "Designing Resilient Systems‐of‐Systems: A Survey of Metrics, Methods, and Challenges," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(5), pages 491-510, October.
    7. Yacov Y. Haimes & Kenneth Crowther & Barry M. Horowitz, 2008. "Homeland security preparedness: Balancing protection with resilience in emergent systems," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(4), pages 287-308, December.
    8. Henry, Devanandham & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, Jose, 2012. "Generic metrics and quantitative approaches for system resilience as a function of time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 114-122.
    9. Gerald Brown & Matthew Carlyle & Javier Salmerón & Kevin Wood, 2006. "Defending Critical Infrastructure," Interfaces, INFORMS, vol. 36(6), pages 530-544, December.
    10. Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose Emmanuel & Rocco, Claudio M., 2013. "Resilience-based network component importance measures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 89-97.
    11. Joshua M. Epstein & Robert L. Axtell, 1996. "Growing Artificial Societies: Social Science from the Bottom Up," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 0262550253, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Jingyi & Yu, Yang & Yu, Jianxing & Chang, Xueying & Xu, Lixin & Zhang, Wenhao, 2023. "A Markov resilience assessment framework for tension leg platform under mooring failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Payuna Uday & Karen Marais, 2015. "Designing Resilient Systems‐of‐Systems: A Survey of Metrics, Methods, and Challenges," Systems Engineering, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 18(5), pages 491-510, October.
    2. Li, Zhaolong & Jin, Chun & Hu, Pan & Wang, Cong, 2019. "Resilience-based transportation network recovery strategy during emergency recovery phase under uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 503-514.
    3. Zhang, Xiaoge & Mahadevan, Sankaran & Sankararaman, Shankar & Goebel, Kai, 2018. "Resilience-based network design under uncertainty," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 364-379.
    4. Trucco, Paolo & Petrenj, Boris, 2023. "Characterisation of resilience metrics in full-scale applications to interdependent infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    5. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Xiang, Yang & An, Lei & Wang, Wenfeng, 2022. "Complex equipment system resilience: Composition, measurement and element analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    6. Baroud, Hiba & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Rocco S., Claudio M., 2014. "Importance measures for inland waterway network resilience," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 55-67.
    7. Poulin, Craig & Kane, Michael B., 2021. "Infrastructure resilience curves: Performance measures and summary metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    8. Han, Lin & Zhao, Xudong & Chen, Zhilong & Gong, Huadong & Hou, Benwei, 2021. "Assessing resilience of urban lifeline networks to intentional attacks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    9. Gama Dessavre, Dante & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Barker, Kash, 2016. "Multidimensional approach to complex system resilience analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 34-43.
    10. Zio, Enrico, 2016. "Challenges in the vulnerability and risk analysis of critical infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 137-150.
    11. Chi Zhang & Jose Ramirez-Marquez, 2013. "Protecting critical infrastructures against intentional attacks: a two-stage game with incomplete information," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(3), pages 244-258.
    12. Li, Ruiying & Gao, Ying, 2022. "On the component resilience importance measures for infrastructure systems," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    13. Ivo Häring & Mirjam Fehling-Kaschek & Natalie Miller & Katja Faist & Sebastian Ganter & Kushal Srivastava & Aishvarya Kumar Jain & Georg Fischer & Kai Fischer & Jörg Finger & Alexander Stolz & Tobias , 2021. "A performance-based tabular approach for joint systematic improvement of risk control and resilience applied to telecommunication grid, gas network, and ultrasound localization system," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 41(2), pages 286-329, June.
    14. Zhao, S. & Liu, X. & Zhuo, Y., 2017. "Hybrid Hidden Markov Models for resilience metrics in a dynamic infrastructure system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 84-97.
    15. Claudio M Rocco & Kash Barker & Jose Moronta & Jose E Ramirez-Marquez, 2018. "Community detection and resilience in multi-source, multi-terminal networks," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 232(6), pages 616-626, December.
    16. Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Rocco, Claudio M. & Barker, Kash & Moronta, Jose, 2018. "Quantifying the resilience of community structures in networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 466-474.
    17. Gonçalves, L.A.P.J. & Ribeiro, P.J.G., 2020. "Resilience of urban transportation systems. Concept, characteristics, and methods," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    18. MacKenzie, Cameron A. & Hu, Chao, 2019. "Decision making under uncertainty for design of resilient engineered systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    19. Almoghathawi, Yasser & Barker, Kash & Albert, Laura A., 2019. "Resilience-driven restoration model for interdependent infrastructure networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 12-23.
    20. Bill McKelvey & Benyamin B. Lichtenstein & Pierpaolo Andriani, 2012. "When organisations and ecosystems interact: toward a law of requisite fractality in firms," International Journal of Complexity in Leadership and Management, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 2(1/2), pages 104-136.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:syseng:v:20:y:2017:i:2:p:158-172. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://doi.org/10.1002/(ISSN)1520-6858 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.