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Modeling the Effectiveness of Respiratory Protective Devices in Reducing Influenza Outbreak

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  • Jing Yan
  • Suvajyoti Guha
  • Prasanna Hariharan
  • Matthew Myers

Abstract

Outbreaks of influenza represent an important health concern worldwide. In many cases, vaccines are only partially successful in reducing the infection rate, and respiratory protective devices (RPDs) are used as a complementary countermeasure. In devising a protection strategy against influenza for a given population, estimates of the level of protection afforded by different RPDs is valuable. In this article, a risk assessment model previously developed in general form was used to estimate the effectiveness of different types of protective equipment in reducing the rate of infection in an influenza outbreak. It was found that a 50% compliance in donning the device resulted in a significant (at least 50% prevalence and 20% cumulative incidence) reduction in risk for fitted and unfitted N95 respirators, high‐filtration surgical masks, and both low‐filtration and high‐filtration pediatric masks. An 80% compliance rate essentially eliminated the influenza outbreak. The results of the present study, as well as the application of the model to related influenza scenarios, are potentially useful to public health officials in decisions involving resource allocation or education strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Jing Yan & Suvajyoti Guha & Prasanna Hariharan & Matthew Myers, 2019. "Modeling the Effectiveness of Respiratory Protective Devices in Reducing Influenza Outbreak," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(3), pages 647-661, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:39:y:2019:i:3:p:647-661
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.13181
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    3. Joël Mossong & Niel Hens & Mark Jit & Philippe Beutels & Kari Auranen & Rafael Mikolajczyk & Marco Massari & Stefania Salmaso & Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba & Jacco Wallinga & Janneke Heijne & Malgorzata Sa, 2008. "Social Contacts and Mixing Patterns Relevant to the Spread of Infectious Diseases," PLOS Medicine, Public Library of Science, vol. 5(3), pages 1-1, March.
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    1. Baloch, Gohram & Gzara, Fatma & Elhedhli, Samir, 2023. "Risk-based allocation of COVID-19 personal protective equipment under supply shortages," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(3), pages 1085-1100.
    2. Farouk Daghistani, 2023. "Public Behavior in Urban Parks during Pandemics as a Foundation for Risk Assessment by Park Managers: A Case Study in Saudi Arabia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-22, January.
    3. Chan, Elisa K., 2023. "Pandemic experience and locus of protection," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 100(C).

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