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Multi‐period hedge ratios for a multi‐asset portfolio when accounting for returns co‐movement

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  • Viviana Fernandez

Abstract

This study presents a model to select the optimal hedge ratios of a portfolio composed of an arbitrary number of commodities. In particular, returns dependency and heterogeneous investment horizons are accounted for by copulas and wavelets, respectively. A portfolio of London Metal Exchange metals is analyzed for the period July 1993–December 2005, and it is concluded that neglecting cross correlations leads to biased estimates of the optimal hedge ratios and the degree of hedge effectiveness. Furthermore, when compared with a multivariate‐GARCH specification, our methodology yields higher hedge effectiveness for the raw returns and their short‐term components. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 28:182–207, 2008

Suggested Citation

  • Viviana Fernandez, 2008. "Multi‐period hedge ratios for a multi‐asset portfolio when accounting for returns co‐movement," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(2), pages 182-207, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:28:y:2008:i:2:p:182-207
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    1. Tzagkarakis George & Dionysopoulos Thomas & Achim Alin, 2016. "Recurrence quantification analysis of denoised index returns via alpha-stable modeling of wavelet coefficients: detecting switching volatility regimes," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 20(1), pages 75-96, February.
    2. Mara Madaleno & Carlos Pinho, 2010. "Hedging Performance and Multiscale Relationships in the German Electricity Spot and Futures Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-37, December.
    3. Karmakar, Madhusudan, 2017. "Dependence structure and portfolio risk in Indian foreign exchange market: A GARCH-EVT-Copula approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 275-291.
    4. Power, Gabriel J. & Vedenov, Dmitry V., 2008. "The Shape of the Optimal Hedge Ratio: Modeling Joint Spot-Futures Prices using an Empirical Copula-GARCH Model," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37609, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
    5. Thomas Conlon & Brian M. Lucey & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2018. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? A wavelet time-scale perspective," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 317-345, August.
    6. Demiralay, Sercan & Gencer, Hatice Gaye & Bayraci, Selcuk, 2022. "Carbon credit futures as an emerging asset: Hedging, diversification and downside risks," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    7. Noureddine Benlagha, 2014. "Dependence structure between nominal and index-linked bond returns: a bivariate copula and DCC-GARCH approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(31), pages 3849-3860, November.
    8. McNevin, Bruce D. & Nix, Joan, 2018. "The beta heuristic from a time/frequency perspective: A wavelet analysis of the market risk of sectors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 570-585.
    9. Vedenov, Dmitry V., 2008. "Application of Copulas to Estimation of Joint Crop Yield Distributions," 2008 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2008, Orlando, Florida 6264, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    10. Liu, Xiaochun & Jacobsen, Brian, 2011. "The Dynamic International Optimal Hedge Ratio," MPRA Paper 35260, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Bruzda, Joanna, 2017. "Real and complex wavelets in asset classification: An application to the US stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 115-125.
    12. Jahangir Sultan & Antonios K. Alexandridis & Mohammad Hasan & Xuxi Guo, 2019. "Hedging performance of multiscale hedge ratios," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(12), pages 1613-1632, December.
    13. Bredin, Don & Conlon, Thomas & Potì, Valerio, 2015. "Does gold glitter in the long-run? Gold as a hedge and safe haven across time and investment horizon," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 320-328.
    14. Zoulkiflou Moumouni & Jules Sadefo-Kamdem, 2019. "New models of commodity risk hedging according to the behavior of economic decision-makers or Rollover Strategies," Working Papers hal-02417459, HAL.
    15. Jules Sadefo Kamdem & Zoulkiflou Moumouni, 2020. "Comparison of Some Static Hedging Models of Agricultural Commodities Price Uncertainty," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 631-655, September.
    16. Kotkatvuori-Örnberg, Juha, 2016. "Dynamic conditional copula correlation and optimal hedge ratios with currency futures," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 60-69.
    17. Thomas Conlon & John Cotter & Ramazan Gençay, 2016. "Commodity futures hedging, risk aversion and the hedging horizon," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(15), pages 1534-1560, December.
    18. Wen-Chung Hsu & Hsiang-Tai Lee, 2018. "Cross Hedging Stock Sector Risk with Index Futures by Considering the Global Equity Systematic Risk," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-17, April.

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