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Predicting Risk through Artificial Intelligence Based on Machine Learning Algorithms: A Case of Pakistani Nonfinancial Firms

Author

Listed:
  • Shamsa Khalid
  • Muhammad Anees Khan
  • M.S. Mazliham
  • Muhammad Mansoor Alam
  • Nida Aman
  • Muhammad Tanvir Taj
  • Rija Zaka
  • Muhammad Jehangir

Abstract

AI (artificial intelligence) is a significant technological advancement that has everyone buzzing about its incredible potential. The current research study evaluates the influence of supervised artificial intelligence techniques, i.e., machine learning techniques on the nonfinancial firms of Pakistan and focuses on the practical application of AI techniques for the accurate prediction of corporate risks which in turn will lead to the automation of corporate risk management. So, in this study, we used financial ratios for accurate risk assessment and for the automation of corporate risk management by developing machine learning algorithms using techniques, namely, random forest, decision tree, naïve Bayes, and KNN. A secondary data collection technique will be used. For this purpose, we collected annual data of nonfinancial companies in Pakistan for the period ranging from 2006 to 2020, and the data are analyzed and tested through Python software. Our results prove that AI techniques can accurately predict risk with minimum error values, and among all the techniques used, the random forest technique outperforms as compared to the rest of the techniques.

Suggested Citation

  • Shamsa Khalid & Muhammad Anees Khan & M.S. Mazliham & Muhammad Mansoor Alam & Nida Aman & Muhammad Tanvir Taj & Rija Zaka & Muhammad Jehangir, 2022. "Predicting Risk through Artificial Intelligence Based on Machine Learning Algorithms: A Case of Pakistani Nonfinancial Firms," Complexity, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2022(1).
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:complx:v:2022:y:2022:i:1:n:6858916
    DOI: 10.1155/2022/6858916
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Danielsson, Jon & Zhou, Chen, 2015. "Why risk is so hard to measure," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 62002, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Meijia Zhai & Zhihan Lv, 2021. "Risk Prediction and Response Strategies in Corporate Financial Management Based on Optimized BP Neural Network," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-10, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Sara Rizvi Jafree & Mian Muhammad Mubasher, 2025. "Predicting high risk pregnancies in Pakistan- a demographic assessment using predictive machine learning," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 59(6), pages 4927-4944, December.

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