IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/vrs/mtrbid/v43y2021i3p415-429n4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Effect of the Covid-19 Pandemic and Quarantine Restrictions on Business and Socio-Economic Dynamics in Ukraine

Author

Listed:
  • Melnyk Mariana

    (D. Sc. (Econ.), Prof., Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of, Ukraine .)

  • Leshchukh Iryna

    (Ph.D. (Econ.), Senior Researcher, Dolishniy Institute of Regional Research of NAS of Ukraine, ; 4 Kozelnytska Str., Lviv, 79026, Ukraine .)

  • Baranova Viktoriia

    (D. Sc. (Econ.), Prof., Odessa National Economic University, .)

Abstract

The goal of the present article is to provide a comprehensive study of the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic and quarantine restrictions on the business development and socio-economic dynamics in Ukraine. The key hypotheses of the research: 1) the COVID-19 pandemic and quarantine restrictions reduce the pace of macroeconomic development in Ukraine, this being manifested in the decrease in GDP, the scope of export-import operations as well as decline in industrial production; 2) reduced pace of macroeconomic development causes: 2.1) reduced economic mobility of economic entities; 2.2) negative social consequences manifested in reduced real income of residents, unemployment growth. The effect of specific factors of macroeconomic development and economic mobility of business entities on the unemployment rate increase in Ukraine has been shown through the correlation and regression analysis. Findings: Quarantine restrictions applied for the sake of slowing down the speed of the pandemic spread have acted as a factor causing decrease in GDP, scope of export-import operations as well as decline in the industrial production in Ukraine. It has been established that reduction of the pace of macroeconomic development in the background of unprecedented restrictive measures has caused economic imbalances in the country, manifested in inflation fluctuations and increase in the prices of foodstuffs and industrial goods, reduced business activity of business entities, decline in the commodity turnover volume, reduced business profitability. It is stressed that in the conditions of poor control over the processes of disease spread and uncertainty in the timeline of the pandemic the efficiency of the business activity stimulation in Ukraine can be ensured via consideration of the effects of behavioural economics as well as direction of the limited financial resources into the fields of the country’s economy that can ensure its smart specialization and/or are building their capacity even under pandemic conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Melnyk Mariana & Leshchukh Iryna & Baranova Viktoriia, 2021. "The Effect of the Covid-19 Pandemic and Quarantine Restrictions on Business and Socio-Economic Dynamics in Ukraine," Management Theory and Studies for Rural Business and Infrastructure Development, Sciendo, vol. 43(3), pages 415-429, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:mtrbid:v:43:y:2021:i:3:p:415-429:n:4
    DOI: 10.15544/mts.2021.38
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.15544/mts.2021.38
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.15544/mts.2021.38?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jingxuan Liu & Ping Qiao & Jian Ding & Luke Hankinson & Elodie H. Harriman & Edward M. Schiller & Ieva Ramanauskaite & Haowei Zhang, 2020. "Will the Aviation Industry Have a Bright Future after the COVID-19 Outbreak? Evidence from Chinese Airport Shipping Sector," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-14, November.
    2. Chia-Lin Chang & Michael McAleer & Vicente Ramos, 2020. "A Charter for Sustainable Tourism after COVID-19," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-4, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Da Van Huynh & Thuy Thi Kim Truong & Long Hai Duong & Nhan Trong Nguyen & Giang Vu Huong Dao & Canh Ngoc Dao, 2021. "The COVID-19 Pandemic and Its Impacts on Tourism Business in a Developing City: Insight from Vietnam," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-17, November.
    2. Salinas Fernández, José Antonio & Guaita Martínez, José Manuel & Martín Martín, José María, 2022. "An analysis of the competitiveness of the tourism industry in a context of economic recovery following the COVID19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    3. Łukasz Mamica & Jakub Głowacki & Kamil Makieła, 2021. "Determinants of the Energy Poverty of Polish Students during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-15, June.
    4. Christian M. Hafner, 2020. "The Spread of the Covid-19 Pandemic in Time and Space," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-13, May.
    5. Monika Widz & Renata Krukowska & Bartłomiej Walas & Zygmunt Kruczek, 2022. "Course of Values of Key Performance Indicators in City Hotels during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Poland Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, September.
    6. Anca-Gabriela Turtureanu & Rodica Pripoaie & Carmen-Mihaela Cretu & Carmen-Gabriela Sirbu & Emanuel Ştefan Marinescu & Laurentiu-Gabriel Talaghir & Florentina Chițu, 2022. "A Projection Approach of Tourist Circulation under Conditions of Uncertainty," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-21, February.
    7. Larissa Batrancea, 2021. "The Nexus between Financial Performance and Equilibrium: Empirical Evidence on Publicly Traded Companies from the Global Financial Crisis Up to the COVID-19 Pandemic," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-12, May.
    8. Alba Viana-Lora & Marta Gemma Nel-lo-Andreu, 2022. "Bibliometric analysis of trends in COVID-19 and tourism," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-8, December.
    9. Beatriz Palacios-Florencio & Luna Santos-Roldán & Juan Manuel Berbel-Pineda & Ana María Castillo-Canalejo, 2021. "Sustainable Tourism as a Driving force of the Tourism Industry in a Post-Covid-19 Scenario," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 158(3), pages 991-1011, December.
    10. Yusuke Kitamura & Selim Karkour & Yuki Ichisugi & Norihiro Itsubo, 2020. "Evaluation of the Economic, Environmental, and Social Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Japanese Tourism Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-22, December.
    11. Hatem El-Gohary, 2020. "Coronavirus and Halal Tourism and Hospitality Industry: Is It a Journey to the Unknown?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-26, November.
    12. Yanan Li & Sid Terason, 2023. "Configuring the Pattern of Sustainable Tourism Development as Affected by the Construction of a High-Speed Railway System," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(3), pages 21582440231, July.
    13. Michał Roman & Piotr Grudzień, 2021. "The Essence of Agritourism and Its Profitability during the Coronavirus (COVID-19) Pandemic," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-25, May.
    14. Alessandra Fermani & Maria Rita Sergi & Angelo Carrieri & Isabella Crespi & Laura Picconi & Aristide Saggino, 2020. "Sustainable Tourism and Facilities Preferences: The Sustainable Tourist Stay Scale (STSS) Validation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-14, November.
    15. Fernando Morante-Carballo & Miguel Gurumendi-Noriega & Juan Cumbe-Vásquez & Lady Bravo-Montero & Paúl Carrión-Mero, 2022. "Georesources as an Alternative for Sustainable Development in COVID-19 Times—A Study Case in Ecuador," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-30, June.
    16. Monika Małgorzata Wojcieszak-Zbierska & Anna Jęczmyk & Jan Zawadka & Jarosław Uglis, 2020. "Agritourism in the Era of the Coronavirus (COVID-19): A Rapid Assessment from Poland," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-19, September.
    17. Gabriella Andrade & Holly Itoga & Cathrine Linnes & Jerome Agrusa & Joseph Lema, 2021. "The Economic Sustainability of Culture in Hawai’i: Tourists’ Willingness to Pay for Hawaiian Cultural Experiences," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-25, September.
    18. Michał Roman & Arkadiusz Niedziółka & Andrzej Krasnodębski, 2020. "Respondents’ Involvement in Tourist Activities at the Time of the COVID-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-21, November.
    19. Marina Sheresheva & Marina Efremova & Lilia Valitova & Anna Polukhina & Georgy Laptev, 2021. "Russian Tourism Enterprises’ Marketing Innovations to Meet the COVID-19 Challenges," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-17, March.
    20. Wenwen Zhang & Yi-Bin Chiu, 2020. "Globalization, Country Risks, and Trade in Tourism Services: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-26, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19 pandemic; Risks and Financial management; Business activity; Social effects of coronavirus; Economic effects of coronavirus; Business; Economics and Finance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics
    • P - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems
    • I - Health, Education, and Welfare

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:vrs:mtrbid:v:43:y:2021:i:3:p:415-429:n:4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Peter Golla (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciendo.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.