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Standard & Poor's 500 Index Futures Volatility and Price Changes around the New York Stock Exchange Close

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  • Chang, Eric C
  • Jain, Prem C
  • Locke, Peter R

Abstract

We examine the effects of the closing of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) on volatility and price changes in the Standard & Poor's (S&P) futures market, which trades for 15 more minutes each day. When the NYSE closes, volatility in the futures market drops significantly, only to increase at the close of the futures market, thus exhibiting a U-shaped pattern after the NYSE closes. We also find that Friday's close is the period of highest volatility in the futures market. Also, in the final minutes on Friday, the S&P futures price anticipates the well-known weekend effect found in equities. Copyright 1995 by University of Chicago Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Chang, Eric C & Jain, Prem C & Locke, Peter R, 1995. "Standard & Poor's 500 Index Futures Volatility and Price Changes around the New York Stock Exchange Close," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 68(1), pages 61-84, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:ucp:jnlbus:v:68:y:1995:i:1:p:61-84
    DOI: 10.1086/296653
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    Cited by:

    1. Peter Reinhard Hansen & Asger Lunde, 2005. "A Realized Variance for the Whole Day Based on Intermittent High-Frequency Data," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 525-554.
    2. Köksal, Bülent, 2012. "An Analysis of Intraday Patterns and Liquidity on the Istanbul Stock Exchange," MPRA Paper 35968, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Hua, Renhai & Liu, Qingfu & Tse, Yiuman, 2016. "Extended trading in Chinese index markets: Informed or uninformed?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 112-122.
    4. Chan, Yue-cheong, 2005. "Who trades in the stock index futures market when the underlying cash market is not trading?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 13(5), pages 547-561, November.
    5. Kam C. Chan & Carl R. Chen & Peter P. Lung, 2010. "Business Cycles and Net Buying Pressure in the S&P 500 Futures Options," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 16(4), pages 624-657, September.
    6. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
    7. Brown, Gregory W. & Hartzell, Jay C., 2001. "Market reaction to public information: The atypical case of the Boston Celtics," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2-3), pages 333-370, May.
    8. G. Mujtaba Mian & Christopher M. Adam, 2000. "Does More Market-Wide Information Originate While an Exchange is Open: Some Anomalous Evidence from the ASX," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 25(3), pages 339-352, December.
    9. Chan, Kam C. & Fung, Hung-Gay & Leung, Wai K., 2004. "Daily volatility behavior in Chinese futures markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 14(5), pages 491-505, December.
    10. Alfred Ma, 2022. "Profitability of technical trading strategies under market manipulation," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-9, December.
    11. Yiuman Tse & Paramita Bandyopadhyay, 2006. "Multi-market trading in the Eurodollar futures market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 321-341, May.
    12. Patrick Kuok-Kun Chu, 2016. "Analysis and Forecast of Tracking Performance of Hong Kong Exchange-Traded Funds: Evidence from Tracker Fund and X iShares A50," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(04), pages 1-26, December.
    13. Bildik, Recep, 2001. "Intra-day seasonalities on stock returns: evidence from the Turkish Stock Market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 2(4), pages 387-417, December.
    14. Baltussen, Guido & Da, Zhi & Lammers, Sten & Martens, Martin, 2021. "Hedging demand and market intraday momentum," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(1), pages 377-403.

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