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Renminbi Internationalization: Prospects and Implications for Economic Integration in East Asia

Author

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  • Yung Chul Park

    (Division of International Studies Korea University 51 Anam-dong, Seongbuk-gu Seoul 136-701, Korea)

  • Chi-Young Song

    (Department of Commerce and Finance Kookmin University 861-1 Jeongnueng-dong, Seongbuk-gu Seoul 136-702, Korea)

Abstract

This paper argues that renminbi (RMB) internationalization and China's strategic interests in ASEAN will combine to deepen economic integration and pave the way for creating a de facto RMB bloc consisting of the 10 ASEAN countries, China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan—a grouping we call ASEAN+New3. Such a currency bloc is likely to weaken the initiatives of the existing ASEAN+3 (China, Japan, and Korea) for regional monetary-financial cooperation because neither Japan nor can Korea join the new currency bloc for economic and political reasons. This paper also argues that RMB internationalization would delay the resolution of the trade imbalance between East Asia and the United States because China would be pressured by the other members of ASEAN+New3 to maintain stability of the RMB vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar. © 2011 The Earth Institute at Columbia University and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Yung Chul Park & Chi-Young Song, 2011. "Renminbi Internationalization: Prospects and Implications for Economic Integration in East Asia," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 10(3), pages 42-72, Fall.
    • Handle: RePEc:tpr:asiaec:v:10:y:2011:i:3:p:42-72
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    Cited by:

    1. Boubakri, Salem & Guillaumin, Cyriac, 2015. "Regional integration of the East Asian stock markets: An empirical assessment," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 136-160.
    2. Xuejun Lin & Yefen Xiao & Yuan Liang & Xiaowen Zhang, 2017. "A Research on the Belt and Road Initiatives and Strategies of RMB Internationalization," Business and Management Research, Business and Management Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 6(1), pages 13-27, March.
    3. Batten, Jonathan A. & Szilagyi, Peter G., 2016. "The internationalisation of the RMB: New starts, jumps and tipping points," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 221-238.
    4. Subramanian Arvind & Kessler Martin, 2013. "The Renminbi Bloc is Here: Asia Down, Rest of the World to Go?," Journal of Globalization and Development, De Gruyter, vol. 4(1), pages 49-94, August.
    5. Berdiev, Aziz N. & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2015. "Business cycle synchronization in Asia-Pacific: New evidence from wavelet analysis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 20-33.
    6. Catherine Figuière & Laëtitia Guilhot & Cyriac Guillaumin, 2013. "La question du régime de change en Asie de l'Est : Vers un bloc monétaire régional ?," Revue d'économie politique, Dalloz, vol. 123(2), pages 265-298.
    7. Torsten Ehlers & Frank Packer, 2013. "FX and derivatives markets in emerging economies and the internationalisation of their currencies," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    8. Eichengreen, Barry & Flandreau, Marc & Mehl, Arnaud & Chitu, Livia, 2017. "International Currencies Past, Present, and Future: Two Views from Economic History," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780190659455.
    9. Miaojie Yu, 2020. "China-US Trade War and Trade Talk," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-981-15-3785-1, September.
    10. Yanping Zhao & Zaghum Umar & Xuan Vinh Vo, 2021. "Return and volatility connectedness of Chinese onshore, offshore, and forward exchange rate," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(11), pages 1843-1860, November.
    11. Keddad, Benjamin, 2019. "How do the Renminbi and other East Asian currencies co-move?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 49-70.
    12. Miaojie Yu, 2023. "Internationalisierung des RMB und Belt and Road Initiative," Springer Books, in: Handelskrieg und Handelsgespräche zwischen China und den USA, chapter 10, pages 157-173, Springer.
    13. Lee, Il Houng & Park, Yung Chul, 2014. "Use of National Currencies for Trade Settlement in East Asia: A Proposal," ADBI Working Papers 474, Asian Development Bank Institute.
    14. Chien, Mei-Se & Lee, Chien-Chiang & Hu, Te-Chung & Hu, Hui-Ting, 2015. "Dynamic Asian stock market convergence: Evidence from dynamic cointegration analysis among China and ASEAN-5," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 84-98.
    15. Chang Sik Kim & Sunghyun Kim & Yunjong Wang, 2018. "RMB Bloc in East Asia: Too Early to Talk About It?," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 17(3), pages 31-48, Fall.
    16. Hwee K. Chow, 2021. "Connectedness of Asia Pacific forex markets: China's growing influence," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3807-3818, July.
    17. Fan Zhang & Miaojie Yu & Jiantuo Yu & Yang Jin, 2017. "The Effect of RMB Internationalization on Belt and Road Initiative: Evidence from Bilateral Swap Agreements," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2845-2857, December.
    18. Miaojie Yu, 2023. "Chinas Handelsentwicklung und die Gestaltung der Öffnungspolitik in den letzten vier Jahrzehnten," Springer Books, in: Handelskrieg und Handelsgespräche zwischen China und den USA, chapter 1, pages 3-22, Springer.
    19. Dayong Zhang & Wanli Zhao & Fei Wu & Qiang Ji, 2020. "Financial Integration in Asia: A Systemic View on Currency Markets," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 19(2), pages 41-58, Summer.
    20. Khaled Guesmi & Olfa Kaabia & Ilyes Abid, 2017. "ASEAN Plus Three Stock Markets Integration," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 15(3), pages 565-581, September.

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