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An analysis of the China–US trade war through the lens of the trade literature

Author

Listed:
  • Larry D. Qiu
  • Chaoqun Zhan
  • Xing Wei

Abstract

The current China–US trade war that started in early 2018 has been the largest of this kind in the global market in the past half century, if not longer. Many speculations about the reasons for and progress and potential implications of the trade war emerge. Countries must understand the reasons for the war to avoid future trade wars. Predicting what will happen in the near future and the related economic consequences are even more important for people (including businessmen and government policymakers) to prepare for them and make corresponding decisions. However, endeavouring to predict is a tough job. This paper tries to provide an unbiased analysis through the lens of the trade literature. That is, we want to ask how much we can understand the current trade war on the basis of the accumulated knowledge we can obtain from our profession. Related theories include imperfect competition, increasing returns, terms of trade argument, distributional effects and political economy argument.

Suggested Citation

  • Larry D. Qiu & Chaoqun Zhan & Xing Wei, 2019. "An analysis of the China–US trade war through the lens of the trade literature," Economic and Political Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(2), pages 148-168, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:repsxx:v:7:y:2019:i:2:p:148-168
    DOI: 10.1080/20954816.2019.1595329
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Haoyuan Ding & Bo Pu & Tong Qi & Kai Wang, 2022. "Valuation effects of the US–China trade war: The effects of foreign managers and foreign exposure," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(3), pages 662-683, July.
    2. Haoyuan Ding & Kees G. Koedijk & Tong Qi & Yanqing Shen, 2022. "U.S.–China trade war and corporate reallocation: Evidence from Chinese listed companies," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 45(12), pages 3907-3932, December.
    3. Deepika Krishnan & Vishal Dagar, 2022. "Exchange Rate and Stock Markets During Trade Conflicts in the USA, China, and India," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 14(2), pages 185-203, May.
    4. Sascha Tobias Wengerek, 2020. "Share price reactions to tariff imposition announcements in the Trump era - An event study of the trade conflict," Working Papers Dissertations 59, Paderborn University, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics.
    5. Pan, Yueling & Hou, Lei & Pan, Xue, 2022. "Interplay between stock trading volume, policy, and investor sentiment: A multifractal approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    6. Gerard Atabong Fossung & Vasileios Chatzis Vovas & A. M. M. Shahiduzzaman Quoreshi, 2021. "Impact of Geopolitical Risk on the Information Technology, Communication Services and Consumer Staples Sectors of the S&P 500 Index," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-32, November.
    7. Arthur J. Lin & Hai-Yen Chang, 2020. "Volatility Transmission from Equity, Bulk Shipping, and Commodity Markets to Oil ETF and Energy Fund—A GARCH-MIDAS Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-21, September.
    8. Gong, Yuting & Li, Kevin X. & Chen, Shu-Ling & Shi, Wenming, 2020. "Contagion risk between the shipping freight and stock markets: Evidence from the recent US-China trade war," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

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