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The valuation of structured products using Markov chain models

Author

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  • Dilip B. Madan
  • Martijn Pistorius
  • Wim Schoutens

Abstract

A Markov chain with an expanding non-uniform grid matching risk-neutral marginal distributions is constructed. Conditional distributions of the chain are in the variance gamma class with pre-specified skewness and excess kurtosis. Time change and space scale volatilities are calibrated from option data. For Markov chains, dynamically consistent sequences of bid and ask prices are developed by applying the theory of nonlinear expectations with drivers given by concave distortions applied to the one-step-ahead risk. The procedures are illustrated by generating dynamically consistent bid ask sequences for a variety of structured products, such as locally capped and floored cliquets, rolling calls and puts and hedged and unhedged variance swap contracts. Two-sided nonlinear barrier pricing of straddles is also accomplished. All methods are illustrated on the surface of JPM on October 15, 2009.

Suggested Citation

  • Dilip B. Madan & Martijn Pistorius & Wim Schoutens, 2013. "The valuation of structured products using Markov chain models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(1), pages 125-136, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:13:y:2013:i:1:p:125-136
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2011.605383
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter Carr & Helyette Geman & Dilip Madan & Marc Yor, 2004. "From local volatility to local Levy models," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(5), pages 581-588.
    2. repec:dau:papers:123456789/1448 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Carr, Peter & Madan, Dilip B., 2005. "A note on sufficient conditions for no arbitrage," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 125-130, September.
    4. Dilip Madan, 2010. "Pricing and hedging basket options to prespecified levels of acceptability," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(6), pages 607-615.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Albrecher, Hansjoerg & Guillaume, Florence & Schoutens, Wim, 2013. "Implied liquidity: Model sensitivity," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 48-67.
    2. Lorenzo Mercuri & Andrea Perchiazzo & Edit Rroji, 2020. "Finite Mixture Approximation of CARMA(p,q) Models," Papers 2005.10130, arXiv.org, revised May 2020.
    3. Ernst Eberlein & Dilip Madan & Martijn Pistorius & Wim Schoutens & Marc Yor, 2014. "Two price economies in continuous time," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 71-100, February.
    4. Antoon Pelsser & Mitja Stadje, 2014. "Time-Consistent And Market-Consistent Evaluations," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(1), pages 25-65, January.

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