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Is there potential for a two-tier tanker market?

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  • SIRI PETTERSEN STRANDENES

Abstract

The simulations performed show that demand for quality tankers has to increase by 30% for a two-tier tanker market to emerge. The two-tier freight structure will only last for 3–5 years due to contracting induced by higher freight rates. This means that OPA does not by itself result in higher freight rates for tankers that comply with the requirements. If Western Europe also closes their trades to substandard tankers, a two-tier market emerges and quality tankers obtain a premium. The paper presents a simulation model for international tanker markets. The non-linear complementary equilibrium model solves for a sequence of static equilibria in segmented tanker freight markets, shipbuilding and scrapping markets. Freight markets are segmented according to quality requirements for tankers. The model specifies three tanker classes and one—quality tankers—can operate both market segments.

Suggested Citation

  • Siri Pettersen Strandenes, 1999. "Is there potential for a two-tier tanker market?," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 249-264.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:marpmg:v:26:y:1999:i:3:p:249-264
    DOI: 10.1080/030888399286871
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Ioannis Tsamourgelis & Persa Paflioti & Thomas Vitsounis, 2013. "Seaports Activity (A)synchronicity, Trade Intensity and Business Cycle Convergence: A Panel Data Analysis," International Journal of Maritime, Trade & Economic Issues (IJMTEI), International Journal of Maritime, Trade & Economic Issues (IJMTEI), vol. 0(1), pages 67-92.
    2. Adland, Roar & Jia, Haiying & Strandenes, Siri P., 2018. "The determinants of vessel capacity utilization: The case of Brazilian iron ore exports," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 191-201.
    3. Adland, Roar & Alger, Harrison & Banyte, Justina & Jia, Haiying, 2017. "Does fuel efficiency pay? Empirical evidence from the drybulk timecharter market revisited," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-12.
    4. Su-Han Woo & Hee-Seok Bang & Sally Martin & Kevin X. Li, 2013. "Evolution of research themes in Maritime Policy & Management—1973--2012," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(3), pages 200-225, May.
    5. Roar Adland & Haiying Jia, 2017. "Simulating physical basis risks in the Capesize freight market," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 19(2), pages 196-210, June.
    6. Alizadeh, Amir H. & Talley, Wayne K., 2011. "Vessel and voyage determinants of tanker freight rates and contract times," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 665-675, September.
    7. Görçün, Ömer Faruk, 2022. "A novel integrated MCDM framework based on Type-2 neutrosophic fuzzy sets (T2NN) for the selection of proper Second-Hand chemical tankers," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    8. Manolis Kavussanos & Siri Pettersen Strandenes & Helen Thanopoulou, 2022. "Special issue: ends of eras and new beginnings: twenty-first century challenges for shipping," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 24(2), pages 347-367, June.

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