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Bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of the generalized Pareto distribution

Author

Listed:
  • David E. Giles
  • Hui Feng
  • Ryan T. Godwin

Abstract

We derive analytic expressions for the biases, to O(n−1), of the maximum likelihood estimators of the parameters of the generalized Pareto distribution. Using these expressions to bias-correct the estimators in a selective manner is found to be extremely effective in terms of bias reduction, and can also result in a small reduction in relative mean squared error (MSE). In terms of remaining relative bias, the analytic bias-corrected estimators are somewhat less effective than their counterparts obtained by using a parametric bootstrap bias correction. However, the analytic correction out-performs the bootstrap correction in terms of remaining %MSE. It also performs credibly relative to other recently proposed estimators for this distribution. Taking into account the relative computational costs, this leads us to recommend the selective use of the analytic bias adjustment for most practical situations.

Suggested Citation

  • David E. Giles & Hui Feng & Ryan T. Godwin, 2016. "Bias-corrected maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters of the generalized Pareto distribution," Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(8), pages 2465-2483, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:lstaxx:v:45:y:2016:i:8:p:2465-2483
    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2014.887104
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. N.Z. Econometrics Study Group
      by Dave Giles in Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog on 2013-02-06 09:09:00
    2. What I Learned Last Week
      by Dave Giles in Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog on 2012-10-13 09:19:00
    3. Bias-Corrected MLEs
      by Dave Giles in Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog on 2012-05-01 21:03:00
    4. Extremes, the Generalized Pareto Distribution, and MLE
      by Dave Giles in Econometrics Beat: Dave Giles' Blog on 2012-04-20 03:03:00

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. David E. Giles, 2021. "Improved Maximum Likelihood Estimation for the Weibull Distribution Under Length-Biased Sampling," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 19(1), pages 59-77, December.
    2. Joseph Reath & Jianping Dong & Min Wang, 2018. "Improved parameter estimation of the log-logistic distribution with applications," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 33(1), pages 339-356, March.
    3. El-Sherpieny, El-Sayed A. & Almetwally, Ehab M. & Muhammed, Hiba Z., 2020. "Progressive Type-II hybrid censored schemes based on maximum product spacing with application to Power Lomax distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 553(C).
    4. Ryan T. Godwin & David E. Giles, 2017. "Analytic Bias Correction for Maximum Likelihood Estimators When the Bias Function is Non-Constant," Econometrics Working Papers 1702, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    5. Marc N. Conte & David L. Kelly, 2016. "An Imperfect Storm: Fat-Tailed Hurricane Damages, Insurance and Climate Policy," Working Papers 2016-01, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
    6. Conte, Marc N. & Kelly, David L., 2018. "An imperfect storm: Fat-tailed tropical cyclone damages, insurance, and climate policy," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 677-706.
    7. David E. Giles, 2012. "A Note on Improved Estimation for the Topp-Leone Distribution," Econometrics Working Papers 1203, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    8. Wolfgang Kössler & Janine Ott, 2019. "Two-sided variable inspection plans for arbitrary continuous populations with unknown distribution," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 103(3), pages 437-452, September.
    9. David E. Giles & Hui Feng, 2009. "Bias of the Maximum Likelihood Estimators of the Two-Parameter Gamma Distribution Revisited," Econometrics Working Papers 0908, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    10. Hideki Nagatsuka & N. Balakrishnan, 2021. "Efficient likelihood-based inference for the generalized Pareto distribution," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 73(6), pages 1153-1185, December.
    11. Mahdi Teimouri, 2022. "bccp: an R package for life-testing and survival analysis," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 469-489, March.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C16 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Econometric and Statistical Methods; Specific Distributions
    • C41 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Duration Analysis; Optimal Timing Strategies
    • C46 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Specific Distributions

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