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Does Conditionality Mitigate the Potential Negative Effect of Aid on Revenues?

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  • Ernesto Crivelli
  • Sanjeev Gupta

Abstract

This paper assesses whether conditionality in IMF-supported programmes has helped offset the potential negative effect of foreign aid on tax revenues. The analysis – carried out on panel data covering 1993-2012 for 111 low- and middle-income countries – shows that growing use of revenue conditionality by low-income countries partially offsets the depressing effect of foreign grants on tax revenue, particularly on taxes on goods and services. The impact of conditionality is strong in countries where aid dependence is high and where institutions are strong, suggesting that revenue conditionality cannot substitute for weak institutions in mitigating any negative effect of aid on tax revenue collection.

Suggested Citation

  • Ernesto Crivelli & Sanjeev Gupta, 2017. "Does Conditionality Mitigate the Potential Negative Effect of Aid on Revenues?," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(7), pages 1057-1074, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:jdevst:v:53:y:2017:i:7:p:1057-1074
    DOI: 10.1080/00220388.2017.1303678
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    Cited by:

    1. Loujaina Abdelwahed, 2023. "Fiscal Responses to Foreign Aid: Does the Permanence of Aid Matter?," Journal of African Economies, Centre for the Study of African Economies, vol. 32(1), pages 26-51.
    2. Simplice A. Asongu & Hillary C. Ezeaku, 2020. "Aid Grants vs. Technical Cooperation Grants: Implications for Inclusive Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, 1984-2018," Research Africa Network Working Papers 20/091, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    3. Abrams M.E. Tagem, 2017. "The economics and politics of foreign aid and domestic revenue," WIDER Working Paper Series 180, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    4. Bayale, Nimonka, . "Foreign Aid and Fiscal Resources Mobilization in WAEMU Countries: Ambiguous Effects and New Questions," African Journal of Economic Review, African Journal of Economic Review, vol. 8(2).
    5. Abrams M.E. Tagem, 2017. "The economics and politics of foreign aid and domestic revenue," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-180, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. Inmaculada Martinez-Zarzoso, 2019. "Effects of Foreign Aid on Income through International Trade," Politics and Governance, Cogitatio Press, vol. 7(2), pages 29-52.
    7. Douch, Mustapha & Edwards, Huw & Landman, Todd & Mallick, Sushanta, 2022. "Aid effectiveness: Human rights as a conditionality measure," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    8. Jose L. Diaz‐Sanchez & Abrams M. E. Tagem & Joana Mota, 2022. "Tax revenue effort and aid in fragile states: The case of Comoros," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 90(2), pages 175-195, June.
    9. repec:oup:jafrec:v:32:y:2022:i:1:p:26-51. is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Farooq, Imran & Mavrotas, George & Cassimon, Danny, 2026. "Fiscal response in the presence of aid heterogeneity under political regime change: new evidence from Pakistan," IOB Working Papers 2026.01, Universiteit Antwerpen, Institute of Development Policy (IOB).

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