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On Br�Dy'S Conjecture: Theory, Facts And Figures About Instability Of The Us Economy

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  • Theodore Mariolis
  • Lefteris Tsoulfidis

Abstract

Br�dy's conjecture regarding the instability of economies is submitted to an empirical test using input--output flow tables of varying size for the US economy, for the benchmark years 1997 and 2002, as well as for the period 1998--2011. The results obtained using input--output tables of various dimensions lend support to the view of increasing instability (in the sense of Br�dy) of the US economy over the period considered. Furthermore, our analysis shows that only a few vertically integrated industries are enough to shape the behaviour of the entire economy in the case of a disturbance. These results may usefully be contrasted with those derived in a parallel literature on aggregate fluctuations from microeconomic 'idiosyncratic' shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Theodore Mariolis & Lefteris Tsoulfidis, 2014. "On Br�Dy'S Conjecture: Theory, Facts And Figures About Instability Of The Us Economy," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(2), pages 209-223, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ecsysr:v:26:y:2014:i:2:p:209-223
    DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2013.879698
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    Cited by:

    1. Ferrer-Hernández , Jacobo & Torres-González, Luis Daniel, 2022. "Some Recent Developments on the Explanation of the Empirical Relationship between Prices and Distribution," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP54, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    2. Tsoulfidis, Lefteris, 2021. "Capital Theory Debates: New Developments and Direction," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP51, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    3. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Minou, Chrysanthi, 2015. "System estimation of GVAR with two dominants and network theory: Evidence for BRICs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 604-616.
    4. Luis Daniel Torres Gonzalez, 2017. "Regularities in Prices of Production and the Concentration of Compositions of Capitals," Working Papers 1709, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    5. Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panayotis G. Michaelides & Livia Chatzieleftheriou & Arsenios‐Georgios N. Prelorentzos, 2022. "Crisis and the Chinese miracle: A network—GVAR model," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 74(3), pages 900-921, July.
    6. Theodore Mariolis & Lefteris Tsoulfidis, 2016. "Capital theory ‘paradoxes’ and paradoxical results: resolved or continued?," Evolutionary and Institutional Economics Review, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 297-322, December.
    7. Schefold, Bertram, 2016. "Marx, the Production Function and the Old Neoclassical Equilibrium: Workable under the Same Assumptions? With an Appendix on the Likelihood of Reswitching and of Wicksell Effects," Centro Sraffa Working Papers CSWP19, Centro di Ricerche e Documentazione "Piero Sraffa".
    8. Jacobo Ferrer-Hernández & Luis Daniel Torres-González, 2021. "Eigenvalues and Eigenlabors: On Iliadi’s, Mariolis’, Soklis’, and Tsoulfidis’ Explanation of the Empirical Regularities in Price Curves," Working Papers 2119, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    9. Mariolis, Theodore, 2015. "Testing Bienenfeld’s Second-Order Approximation for the Wage-Profit Curve," MPRA Paper 68215, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2016. "Bayesian GVAR with k-endogenous dominants & input–output weights: Financial and trade channels in crisis transmission for BRICs," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-26.
    11. Theodore Mariolis & Lefteris Tsoulfidis, 2018. "Less Is More: Capital Theory And Almost Irregular-Uncontrollable Actual Economies," Contributions to Political Economy, Oxford University Press, vol. 37(1), pages 65-88.
    12. Mariolis, Theodore & Tsoulfidis, Lefteris, 2016. "Capital theory: Less is more," MPRA Paper 75923, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Bertram Schefold, 2023. "New Results in Capital Theory and Implications for the Theory of Inflation," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(82), pages 27-51, November.
    14. Kersting, Götz & Schefold, Bertram, 2021. "Best techniques leave little room for substitution. A new critique of the production function," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 509-533.
    15. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Soklis, George & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Tourism expenditures and crisis transmission: A general equilibrium GVAR analysis with network theory," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 74-94.
    16. Konstantakis, Konstantinos & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2014. "Combining Input-Output (IO) analysis with Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) modeling: Evidence for the USA (1992-2006)," MPRA Paper 67111, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Luis Daniel Torres-González, 2020. "The Characteristics of the Productive Structure Behind the Empirical Regularities in Production Prices Curves," Working Papers 2016, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    18. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2018. "Debt dynamics in Europe: A Network General Equilibrium GVAR approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 175-202.
    19. Torres-González, Luis Daniel, 2022. "The Characteristics of the Productive Structure Behind the Empirical Regularities in Production Prices Curves," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 622-659.
    20. Theodore Mariolis, 2015. "Testing Bienenfeld’s Second-Order Approximation for the Wage-Profit Curve," Bulletin of Political Economy, Bulletin of Political Economy, vol. 9(2), pages 161-170, December.

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