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Does foreign aid increase private investment? Evidence from panel cointegration

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  • Dierk Herzer
  • Michael Grimm

Abstract

This article uses panel cointegration and causality techniques to examine the long run relationship between foreign aid and private investment. Our main result is that aid has a statistically significant negative effect on private investment. This result is robust to outliers, different measures and forms of aid, sample selection and the sample period. In addition, we find that long run causality runs in both directions, suggesting that an increase in aid reduces private investment and that, in turn, higher private investment leads to lower aid inflows.

Suggested Citation

  • Dierk Herzer & Michael Grimm, 2012. "Does foreign aid increase private investment? Evidence from panel cointegration," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(20), pages 2537-2550, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2537-2550
    DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2011.566183
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    Cited by:

    1. S K Gnangnon, 2024. "Effect of the DFQF Market Access Initiative on Domestic Investment in Least Developed Countries," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 29(1), pages 133-167, March.
    2. Abrams M.E. Tagem, 2017. "The economics and politics of foreign aid and domestic revenue," WIDER Working Paper Series 180, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    3. Shiao-Yen Liu & Po-Chin Wu & Tsai-Yuan Huang, 2018. "Nonlinear Causality between Education and Health: the Role of Human Development Index," Applied Research in Quality of Life, Springer;International Society for Quality-of-Life Studies, vol. 13(3), pages 761-777, September.
    4. Isaev, Mirolim & Masih, Mansur, 2017. "Macroeconomic and bank-specific determinants of different categories of non-performing financing in Islamic banks: Evidence from Malaysia," MPRA Paper 79719, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Francois, John Nana & Keinsley, Andrew, 2019. "The long-run relationship between public consumption and output in developing countries: Evidence from panel data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 96-99.
    6. Jiangtao Li & Jianyue Ji & Huiwen Guo & Lei Chen, 2018. "Research on the Influence of Real Estate Development on Private Investment: A Case Study of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-17, July.
    7. Matthew J Kotchen & Neeraj Kumar Negi, 2019. "Cofinancing in Environment and Development: Evidence from the Global Environment Facility," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 33(1), pages 41-62.
    8. John Nana Francois & Andrew Keinsley, 2023. "Intratemporal elasticity of substitution between private and public consumption: new evidence and implications," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 1655-1692, October.
    9. Ranjan Kumar Dash & Deepa Jitendra Gupta & Tarun Khandelwal, 2024. "Revisited the role of foreign aid in capital formation: experience of South Asian countries," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    10. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2023. "Duration of membership in the world trade organization and investment-oriented remittances inflows," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 258-277.
    11. Herzer, Dierk & Nunnenkamp, Peter, 2012. "The effect of foreign aid on income inequality: Evidence from panel cointegration," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 245-255.
    12. Tsai-Yuan Huang & Po-Chin Wu & Shiao-Yen Liu, 2017. "Defense–Growth Causality: Considerations of Regime-Switching and Time- and Country-Varying Effects," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(5), pages 568-584, September.
    13. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2022. "Aid for Trade is more effective when the trading environment is more predictable," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(3), pages 453-476, October.
    14. Abdilahi Ali & Baris Alpaslan, 2013. "Do Migrant Remittances Complement Domestic Investment? New Evidence from Panel Cointegration," Economics Discussion Paper Series 1308, Economics, The University of Manchester.
    15. Abdilahi Ali & Baris Alpaslan, 2017. "Is There an Investment Motive Behind Remittances? Evidence From Panel Cointegration," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 51(1), pages 63-82, January-M.
    16. Francois, John Nana & Ahmad, Nazneen & Keinsley, Andrew & Nti-Addae, Akwasi, 2022. "Heterogeneity in the long-run remittance-output relationship: Theory and new evidence," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    17. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2022. "Duration of WTO Membership and Investment-Oriented Remittances Flows," EconStor Preprints 251274, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    18. Dierk Herzer, 2019. "The long-run effect of aid on health: evidence from panel cointegration analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(12), pages 1319-1338, March.
    19. Yahyaoui, Ismahen & Bouchoucha, Najeh, 2019. "The Long-run relationship between ODA, growth and governance: An application of FMOLS and DOLS Approachs," MPRA Paper 95938, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Abrams M.E. Tagem, 2017. "The economics and politics of foreign aid and domestic revenue," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-180, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    21. Gimet, Céline & Lagoarde-Segot, Thomas, 2012. "Financial sector development and access to finance. Does size say it all?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 316-337.
    22. Wu, Po-Chin & Liu, Shiao-Yen & Hsiao, Juei-Ming & Huang, Tsai-Yuan, 2016. "Nonlinear and time-varying growth-tourism causality," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 45-59.
    23. Shujaat Abbas & Faheem Ur Rehman & Shabeer Khan & Mohd Ziaur Rehman & Wadi B. Alonazi & Abul Ala Noman, 2022. "Crowding-Out Effect of Natural Resources on Domestic Investment: The Importance of Information Communication and Technology (ICT) and Control of Corruption in the Middle East and Central Asia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(20), pages 1-16, October.

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