The effect of interest rate volatility on treasury yields
There is a substantial literature on the level and volatility of interest rates. However, there is no agreement to date on the relationship between the two, e.g., whether higher interest rate volatility will result in higher or lower bond yields. Further, there is virtually no research on the role of maturity in this relationship. It is hypothesized that, because of the stochastic nature of interest rates and the embedded option associated with the government's ability to time its borrowings, there should be a negative relationship between interest rate volatility and Treasury yields. Moreover, this negative relationship should be stronger for longer-maturity bonds, everything else held constant. This hypothesis is tested empirically, using bond yield data from the US Treasury market. The main finding is that interest rate volatility does indeed have a significant negative effect on bond yields, and the significance is greater for 20-year bonds than for 10-year bonds, as hypothesized. This result adds a wrinkle to the already complicated policy issue of what range of interest rate volatility is desirable from a 'social optimum' standpoint.
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version under "Related research" (further below) or search for a different version of it.
Volume (Year): 12 (2002)
Issue (Month): 9 ()
|Contact details of provider:|| Web page: http://www.tandfonline.com/RAFE20|
|Order Information:||Web: http://www.tandfonline.com/pricing/journal/RAFE20|
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:apfiec:v:12:y:2002:i:9:p:667-672. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Chris Longhurst)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.