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A Comparative Study of MLR, KNN, ANN and ANFIS Models with Wavelet Transform in Monthly Stream Flow Prediction

Author

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  • Ahmad Khazaee Poul

    (Shahid Beheshti University)

  • Mojtaba Shourian

    (Shahid Beheshti University)

  • Hadi Ebrahimi

    (University of Qom)

Abstract

Reliable and precise prediction of the rivers flow is a major concern in hydrologic and water resources analysis. In this study, multi-linear regression (MLR) as a statistical method, artificial neural network (ANN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) as non-linear ones and K-nearest neighbors (KNN) as a non-parametric regression method are applied to predict the monthly flow in the St. Clair River between the US and Canada. In the developed methods, six scenarios for input combinations are defined in order to study the effect of different input data on the outcomes. Performances of the models are evaluated using statistical indices as the performance criteria. Results obtained show that adding lag times of flow, temperature and precipitation to the inputs improve the accuracy of the predictions significantly. For a further investigation, the aforementioned models are coupled with wavelet transform. Using the wavelet transform improves the values of Nash-Sutcliff coefficient to 0.907, 0.930, 0.923, and 0.847 from 0.340, 0.404, 0.376 and 0.419 respectively, by coupling it with MLR, ANN, ANFIS, and KNN models.

Suggested Citation

  • Ahmad Khazaee Poul & Mojtaba Shourian & Hadi Ebrahimi, 2019. "A Comparative Study of MLR, KNN, ANN and ANFIS Models with Wavelet Transform in Monthly Stream Flow Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(8), pages 2907-2923, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:8:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02273-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02273-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    10. Zhiqiang Jiang & Zhengyang Tang & Yi Liu & Yuyun Chen & Zhongkai Feng & Yang Xu & Hairong Zhang, 2019. "Area Moment and Error Based Forecasting Difficulty and its Application in Inflow Forecasting Level Evaluation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(13), pages 4553-4568, October.
    11. Zhennan Liu & Qiongfang Li & Jingnan Zhou & Weiguo Jiao & Xiaoyu Wang, 2021. "Runoff Prediction Using a Novel Hybrid ANFIS Model Based on Variable Screening," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 35(9), pages 2921-2940, July.
    12. Wenxin Xu & Jie Chen & Xunchang J. Zhang, 2022. "Scale Effects of the Monthly Streamflow Prediction Using a State-of-the-art Deep Learning Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(10), pages 3609-3625, August.
    13. Chao Zhang, 2022. "Exploring user cognition difference and pleasure balance guidance method for product perceptible features in vehicle-mounted system," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 13(3), pages 1019-1030, December.

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