IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v30y2016i9d10.1007_s11269-016-1301-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A self-tuning ANN model for simulation and forecasting of surface flows

Author

Listed:
  • Omid Bozorg-Haddad

    (University of Tehran)

  • Mahboubeh Zarezadeh-Mehrizi

    (Tarbiat Modares University)

  • Mehri Abdi-Dehkordi

    (University of Tehran)

  • Hugo A. Loáiciga

    (University of California)

  • Miguel A. Mariño

    (University of California)

Abstract

Artificial neural networks (ANN) are applicable for and forecasting without the need to calculate complex nonlinear functions. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of temperature, evapotranspiration, precipitation and inflow factors, and the lag time of those factors, as variables for simulating and forecasting of runoff. The genetic algorithm (GA) is coupled with ANN to determine the optimal set of variables for streamflow forecasting. The minimization of the total mean square error (MSE) is considered as the objective function of the ANN-GA method in this paper. Our results show the effectiveness of the ANN-GA for simulating and forecasting runoff with consistent accuracy compared with using pure ANN for runoff simulation and forecasting.

Suggested Citation

  • Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Mahboubeh Zarezadeh-Mehrizi & Mehri Abdi-Dehkordi & Hugo A. Loáiciga & Miguel A. Mariño, 2016. "A self-tuning ANN model for simulation and forecasting of surface flows," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(9), pages 2907-2929, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:30:y:2016:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1301-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-016-1301-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11269-016-1301-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-016-1301-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Omid Haddad & Abbas Afshar & Miguel Mariño, 2006. "Honey-Bees Mating Optimization (HBMO) Algorithm: A New Heuristic Approach for Water Resources Optimization," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(5), pages 661-680, October.
    2. Y. Bolouri-Yazdeli & O. Bozorg Haddad & E. Fallah-Mehdipour & M. Mariño, 2014. "Evaluation of Real-Time Operation Rules in Reservoir Systems Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(3), pages 715-729, February.
    3. Ashkan Shokri & Omid Bozorg Haddad & Miguel Mariño, 2014. "Multi-Objective Quantity–Quality Reservoir Operation in Sudden Pollution," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(2), pages 567-586, January.
    4. M. Ahmadi & Omid Bozorg Haddad & M. Mariño, 2014. "Extraction of Flexible Multi-Objective Real-Time Reservoir Operation Rules," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(1), pages 131-147, January.
    5. S. Seifollahi-Aghmiuni & O. Bozorg Haddad & M. Mariño, 2013. "Water Distribution Network Risk Analysis Under Simultaneous Consumption and Roughness Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2595-2610, May.
    6. M. Jalali & A. Afshar & M. Mariño, 2007. "Multi-Colony Ant Algorithm for Continuous Multi-Reservoir Operation Optimization Problem," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 21(9), pages 1429-1447, September.
    7. O. Haddad & M. Tabari & E. Fallah-Mehdipour & M. Mariño, 2013. "Groundwater Model Calibration by Meta-Heuristic Algorithms," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2515-2529, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Amir Hamzeh Haghiabi, 2017. "Modeling River Mixing Mechanism Using Data Driven Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(3), pages 811-824, February.
    2. Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Pouria Yari & Mohammad Delpasand & Xuefeng Chu, 2022. "Reservoir operation under influence of the joint uncertainty of inflow and evaporation," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 2914-2940, February.
    3. Wen-Ping Tsai & Yen-Ming Chiang & Jun-Lin Huang & Fi-John Chang, 2016. "Exploring the Mechanism of Surface and Ground Water through Data-Driven Techniques with Sensitivity Analysis for Water Resources Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4789-4806, October.
    4. Mehdi Kazemi & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Elahe Fallah-Mehdipour & Xuefeng Chu, 2022. "Optimal water resources allocation in transboundary river basins according to hydropolitical consideration," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 1188-1206, January.
    5. Ali Ahani & Mojtaba Shourian & Peiman Rahimi Rad, 2018. "Performance Assessment of the Linear, Nonlinear and Nonparametric Data Driven Models in River Flow Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(2), pages 383-399, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Hugo A. Loáiciga, 2017. "Multi-Criteria Environmental Impact Assessment of Alternative Irrigation Networks with an Adopted Matrix-Based Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(3), pages 903-928, February.
    2. Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Mohammad Solgi & Hugo A. Loáiciga, 2017. "Investigation of Climatic Variability with Hybrid Statistical Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(1), pages 341-353, January.
    3. Bozorg-Haddad, Omid & Malmir, Marzieh & Mohammad-Azari, Sahar & Loáiciga, Hugo A., 2016. "Estimation of farmers’ willingness to pay for water in the agricultural sector," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 284-290.
    4. Elahe Fallah-Mehdipour & Omid Bozorg Haddad & Saeed Alimohammadi & Hugo Loáiciga, 2015. "Development of Real-Time Conjunctive Use Operation Rules for Aquifer-Reservoir Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(6), pages 1887-1906, April.
    5. Tao Bai & Lianzhou Wu & Jian-xia Chang & Qiang Huang, 2015. "Multi-Objective Optimal Operation Model of Cascade Reservoirs and Its Application on Water and Sediment Regulation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2751-2770, June.
    6. Arvin Samadi-koucheksaraee & Iman Ahmadianfar & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Seyed Amin Asghari-pari, 2019. "Gradient Evolution Optimization Algorithm to Optimize Reservoir Operation Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(2), pages 603-625, January.
    7. M. Afshar & R. Moeini, 2008. "Partially and Fully Constrained Ant Algorithms for the Optimal Solution of Large Scale Reservoir Operation Problems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(12), pages 1835-1857, December.
    8. Leila Ostadrahimi & Miguel Mariño & Abbas Afshar, 2012. "Multi-reservoir Operation Rules: Multi-swarm PSO-based Optimization Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(2), pages 407-427, January.
    9. Mohammad Ehteram & Hojat Karami & Sayed Farhad Mousavi & Saaed Farzin & Alcigeimes B. Celeste & Ahmad-El Shafie, 2018. "Reservoir Operation by a New Evolutionary Algorithm: Kidney Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(14), pages 4681-4706, November.
    10. Iman Ahmadianfar & Arvin Samadi-Koucheksaraee & Omid Bozorg-Haddad, 2017. "Extracting Optimal Policies of Hydropower Multi-Reservoir Systems Utilizing Enhanced Differential Evolution Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(14), pages 4375-4397, November.
    11. Behrang Beiranvand & Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh, 2023. "A Systematic Review of Optimization of Dams Reservoir Operation Using the Meta-heuristic Algorithms," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(9), pages 3457-3526, July.
    12. S. Ashbolt & S. Maheepala & B. Perera, 2014. "A Framework for Short-term Operational Planning for Water Grids," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(8), pages 2367-2380, June.
    13. Hojat Karami & Sayed Farhad Mousavi & Saeed Farzin & Mohammad Ehteram & Vijay P. Singh & Ozgur Kisi, 2018. "Improved Krill Algorithm for Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(10), pages 3353-3372, August.
    14. Abbas Afshar & Nasim Shojaei & Mahdi Sagharjooghifarahani, 2013. "Multiobjective Calibration of Reservoir Water Quality Modeling Using Multiobjective Particle Swarm Optimization (MOPSO)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 1931-1947, May.
    15. Mehrdad Taghian & Iman Ahmadianfar, 2018. "Maximizing the Firm Energy Yield Preserving Total Energy Generation Via an Optimal Reservoir Operation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(1), pages 141-154, January.
    16. Alemtsehay G. Seyoum & Tiku T. Tanyimboh, 2016. "Investigation into the Pressure-Driven Extension of the EPANET Hydraulic Simulation Model for Water Distribution Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(14), pages 5351-5367, November.
    17. Mojtaba Moravej & Seyed-Mohammad Hosseini-Moghari, 2016. "Large Scale Reservoirs System Operation Optimization: the Interior Search Algorithm (ISA) Approach," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(10), pages 3389-3407, August.
    18. Chang-ming Ji & Ting Zhou & Hai-tao Huang, 2014. "Operating Rules Derivation of Jinsha Reservoirs System with Parameter Calibrated Support Vector Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(9), pages 2435-2451, July.
    19. Abbas Afshar & Fariborz Masoumi & Sam Solis, 2015. "Reliability Based Optimum Reservoir Design by Hybrid ACO-LP Algorithm," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(6), pages 2045-2058, April.
    20. Yi Liu & Zhiqiang Jiang & Zhongkai Feng & Yuyun Chen & Hairong Zhang & Ping Chen, 2019. "Optimization of Energy Storage Operation Chart of Cascade Reservoirs with Multi-Year Regulating Reservoir," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-20, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:30:y:2016:i:9:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1301-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.