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An Integrated Simulation-Assessment Approach for Evaluating Health Risks of Groundwater Contamination Under Multiple Uncertainties

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  • A. Yang
  • G. Huang

  • X. Qin

Abstract

An integrated simulation-assessment approach (ISAA) was developed in this study to systematically tackle multiple uncertainties associated with hydrocarbon contaminant transport in subsurface and assessment of carcinogenic health risk. The fuzzy vertex analysis technique and the Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) based stochastic simulation approach were combined into a fuzzy-Latin hypercube sampling (FLHS) simulation model and was used for predicting contaminant transport in subsurface under coupled fuzzy and stochastic uncertainties. The fuzzy-rule-based risk assessment (FRRA) was used for interpreting the general risk level through fuzzy inference to deal with the possibilistic uncertainties associated with both FLHS simulations and health-risk criteria. A study case involving health risk assessment for a benzene-contaminated site was examined. The study results demonstrated the proposed ISAA was useful for evaluating risks within a system containing complicated uncertainties and interactions and providing supports for identifying cost-effective site management strategies. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • A. Yang & G. Huang & X. Qin, 2010. "An Integrated Simulation-Assessment Approach for Evaluating Health Risks of Groundwater Contamination Under Multiple Uncertainties," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(13), pages 3349-3369, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:13:p:3349-3369
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-010-9610-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Saleh Al-Sefry & Zekai Şen, 2006. "Groundwater Rise Problem and Risk Evaluation in Major Cities of Arid Lands – Jedddah Case in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(1), pages 91-108, February.
    2. Jennifer Brainard & David E. Burmaster, 1992. "Bivariate Distributions for Height and Weight of Men and Women in the United States," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(2), pages 267-275, June.
    3. Y. Mylopoulos & N. Theodosiou & N. Mylopoulos, 1999. "A Stochastic Optimization Approach in the Design of an Aquifer Remediation under Hydrogeologic Uncertainty," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 13(5), pages 335-351, October.
    4. Hone-Jay Chu & Liang-Cheng Chang, 2009. "Application of Optimal Control and Fuzzy Theory for Dynamic Groundwater Remediation Design," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(4), pages 647-660, March.
    5. Nicolaos Theodossiou, 2004. "Application of Non-Linear Simulation and Optimisation Models in Groundwater Aquifer Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 18(2), pages 125-141, April.
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    1. Fawen Li & Yong Zhao & Ping Feng & Wei Zhang & Jiale Qiao, 2015. "Risk Assessment of Groundwater and its Application. Part I: Risk Grading Based on the Functional Zoning of Groundwater," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(8), pages 2697-2714, June.
    2. Zhong-kai Feng & Wen-jing Niu & Zhi-qiang Jiang & Hui Qin & Zhen-guo Song, 2020. "Monthly Operation Optimization of Cascade Hydropower Reservoirs with Dynamic Programming and Latin Hypercube Sampling for Dimensionality Reduction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(6), pages 2029-2041, April.
    3. Roberts, Anna M. & Pannell, David J. & Doole, Graeme & Vigiak, Olga, 2012. "Agricultural land management strategies to reduce phosphorus loads in the Gippsland Lakes, Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 106(1), pages 11-22.
    4. Xiaosi Su & Huang Wang & Yuling Zhang, 2013. "Health Risk Assessment of Nitrate Contamination in Groundwater: A Case Study of an Agricultural Area in Northeast China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(8), pages 3025-3034, June.
    5. Shamraiz Ahmad & Kuan Yew Wong & Babar Zaman, 2019. "A Comprehensive and Integrated Stochastic-Fuzzy Method for Sustainability Assessment in the Malaysian Food Manufacturing Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-23, February.

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