IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/rrorus/v11y2021i1d10.1134_s2079970522010087.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Set of Methods and Procedures for Analyzing and Forecasting the Development of the Eastern Regions of the Russian Federation

Author

Listed:
  • S. A. Suspitsyn

    (Institute of Economics and Industrial Engineering, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

— A scheme has been developed for assessing the impact of investments on the GRP growth in a region, the country, and the eastern zone of the Russian Federation, based on an analysis of the investment cycle investments–fixed assets–GRP–investments, the movement of the age strata of fixed assets, and their capital productivity. Triple helix models of interaction of the main factors of regional development (GRP, investment, and household income) in a multiregional system are proposed. The method of coordinating the conditions for the development of regions of different hierarchical levels is substantiated, in particular, the correct translation of the key macroeconomic parameters of the country’s economic development to regions. Its interpretation is proposed in terms of the triple helix model based on the center–periphery approach. Algorithms for joint use of the proposed methods in a set of simulated regional macromodels have been developed. The features of the socioeconomic situation of the eastern regions of the Russian Federation have been studied, experimental calculations of the regional development for the period up to 2035 have been performed and analyzed using a moderately optimistic scenario of the growth levels of key parameters of the economy (population size and income, growth in the share of investments in GRP, etc.).

Suggested Citation

  • S. A. Suspitsyn, 2021. "Set of Methods and Procedures for Analyzing and Forecasting the Development of the Eastern Regions of the Russian Federation," Regional Research of Russia, Springer, vol. 11(1), pages 65-77, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:rrorus:v:11:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1134_s2079970522010087
    DOI: 10.1134/S2079970522010087
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1134/S2079970522010087
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1134/S2079970522010087?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elias G. Carayannis & Alexey E. Cherepovitsyn & Alina A. Ilinova, 2017. "Sustainable Development of the Russian Arctic zone energy shelf: the Role of the Quintuple Innovation Helix Model," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 8(2), pages 456-470, June.
    2. Roberta Capello & Andrea Caragliu & Ugo Fratesi, 2017. "Modeling Regional Growth between Competitiveness and Austerity Measures," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 40(1), pages 38-74, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Vladimir N. Timokhin & Dmitry B. Berg & Andrei G. Shelomentsev, 2023. "Experimental System-Dynamic Model of an Influence of a Level of Education on a Spatial Differentiation of a Population of Russian Regions," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 22(4), pages 861-891.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Roberta Capello & Andrea Caragliu, 2021. "Regional growth and disparities in a post‐COVID Europe: A new normality scenario," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 710-727, September.
    2. KYDROS Dimitrios & FILENTA Pagona, 2022. "Literature Review of Economic and Regional Development through Quantitative Methods and Social Network Analysis," European Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, Bucharest Economic Academy, issue 01, March.
    3. Xie, Zhong & Lu, Wenling & Yu, Jing & Wu, Yanrui & Liu, Qing, 2022. "Development zones and green innovation: Evidence from Chinese listed companies," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    4. Roberta Capello & Andrea Caragliu, 2021. "Merging macroeconomic and territorial determinants of regional growth: the MASST4 model," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 66(1), pages 19-56, February.
    5. Elias G. Carayannis & Gaye Acikdilli & Christopher Ziemnowicz, 2020. "Creative Destruction in International Trade: Insights from the Quadruple and Quintuple Innovation Helix Models," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 11(4), pages 1489-1508, December.
    6. Roberta Capello & Andrea Caragliu, 2016. "After crisis scenarios for Europe: alternative evolutions of structural adjustments," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 9(1), pages 81-101.
    7. A. V. Kotov, 2021. "Options for the Spatial Development of Russia in the Context of Interregional Interactions," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 32(3), pages 318-324, May.
    8. Tatiana Ponomarenko & Marina Nevskaya & Izabela Jonek-Kowalska, 2021. "Mineral Resource Depletion Assessment: Alternatives, Problems, Results," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-15, January.
    9. E. Carayannis & A. Ilinova & A. Chanysheva, 2020. "Russian Arctic Offshore Oil and Gas Projects: Methodological Framework for Evaluating Their Prospects," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 11(4), pages 1403-1429, December.
    10. M. Kruk & A. Semenov & A. Cherepovitsyn & A. Nikulina, 2018. "Environmental and Economic Damage from the Development of Oil and Gas Fields in the Arctic Shelf of the Russian Federation," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 2), pages 423-433.
    11. Samuel Howard Quartey & Olamide Oguntoye, 2021. "Understanding and Promoting Industrial Sustainability in Africa Through the Triple Helix Approach: a Conceptual Model and Research Propositions," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 12(3), pages 1100-1118, September.
    12. Samuel Howard Quartey, 2019. "Geographies of Knowledge and Sustainable Development: Towards a Conceptual Model with Research Propositions," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 10(2), pages 878-897, June.
    13. Roberta Capello, 2019. "Regional Development Theories and Formalised Economic Approaches: An Evolving Relationship," Italian Economic Journal: A Continuation of Rivista Italiana degli Economisti and Giornale degli Economisti, Springer;Società Italiana degli Economisti (Italian Economic Association), vol. 5(1), pages 1-16, March.
    14. Steven G. Craig & Edward C. Hoang & Janet E. Kohlhase, 2023. "Adoption of Technological Change in the Public Sector: Evidence From US States," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 46(3), pages 299-327, May.
    15. Marull, Joan & Farré, Mercè & Boix, Rafael & Palacio, Alan Bernardo & Ruiz-Forés, Núria, 2019. "Modelling urban networks sustainable progress," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 73-91.
    16. Alexey Cherepovitsyn & Dmitry Metkin & Alexander Gladilin, 2018. "An Algorithm of Management Decision-Making Regarding the Feasibility of Investing in Geological Studies of Forecasted Hydrocarbon Resources," Resources, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-17, August.
    17. Ilin, Igior & Kersten, Wolfgang & Jahn, Carlos & Weigell, Jürgen & Levina, Anastasia & Kalyazina, Sofia, 2020. "State of research in arctic maritime logistics," Chapters from the Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conference of Logistics (HICL), in: Jahn, Carlos & Kersten, Wolfgang & Ringle, Christian M. (ed.), Data Science in Maritime and City Logistics: Data-driven Solutions for Logistics and Sustainability. Proceedings of the Hamburg International Conferen, volume 30, pages 383-407, Hamburg University of Technology (TUHH), Institute of Business Logistics and General Management.
    18. Shuaiyu Yao & Mengmeng Chen & Dmitri Muravev & Wendi Ouyang, 2021. "Eco-Efficiency Analysis for the Russian Cities along the Northern Sea Route: A Data Envelopment Analysis Approach Using an Epsilon-Based Measure Model," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(11), pages 1-16, June.
    19. Markus Grillitsch & Mikhail Martynovich & Rune Dahl Fitjar & Silje Haus-Reve, 2021. "The black box of regional growth," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 425-464, July.
    20. L. G. Karanatova & A. Yu. Kulev, 2022. "Socio-Economic Development of the Arctic: Modern Challenges and Priorities," Administrative Consulting, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration. North-West Institute of Management., issue 2.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:rrorus:v:11:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1134_s2079970522010087. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.