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Modeling disruptions causing domino effects in urban guided transport systems faced by flood hazards

Author

Listed:
  • Michaël Gonzva

    (SYSTRA and Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée University (Lab’Urba Laboratory))

  • Bruno Barroca

    (Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée University (Lab’Urba Laboratory))

  • Pierre-Étienne Gautier

    (Paris-Est Marne-la-Vallée University (Lab’Urba Laboratory))

  • Youssef Diab

    (SYSTRA Vice-President of Innovation)

Abstract

Flood risks are the most frequent natural risks in the world. Their consequences are particularly serious when they affect technical systems in urban areas. Experience feedbacks on guided transport systems show that they are urban technical systems that are particularly vulnerable to this type of natural risk. The resilience concept is used in a systemic approach for making an accurate analysis of this type of natural risk. The purpose of this article is to provide an analysis of guided transport systems’ resilience in the face of flood risks via a study of the failure mechanisms to which component elements of these systems are subjected. By using methods resulting from operational safety concepts and designing a computer tool, all the failure scenarios for components can be produced, together with their domino effects. In this way, our work provides a methodology for characterizing guided transport systems’ vulnerability in the face of natural risks and for comparing this vulnerability depending on whether the system is in an underground, ground-level or overground configuration.

Suggested Citation

  • Michaël Gonzva & Bruno Barroca & Pierre-Étienne Gautier & Youssef Diab, 2017. "Modeling disruptions causing domino effects in urban guided transport systems faced by flood hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(1), pages 183-201, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:86:y:2017:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-016-2680-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-016-2680-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. J. Birkmann & O. Cardona & M. Carreño & A. Barbat & M. Pelling & S. Schneiderbauer & S. Kienberger & M. Keiler & D. Alexander & P. Zeil & T. Welle, 2013. "Framing vulnerability, risk and societal responses: the MOVE framework," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 67(2), pages 193-211, June.
    2. Francis, Royce & Bekera, Behailu, 2014. "A metric and frameworks for resilience analysis of engineered and infrastructure systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 90-103.
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    Cited by:

    1. Edwar Forero-Ortiz & Eduardo Martínez-Gomariz, 2020. "Hazards threatening underground transport systems," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 100(3), pages 1243-1261, February.
    2. Hong, Wei-Ting & Clifton, Geoffrey & Nelson, John D., 2022. "Rail transport system vulnerability analysis and policy implementation: Past progress and future directions," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 299-308.

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