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Coastal flood risks and seasonal tourism: analysing the effects of tourism dynamics on casualty calculations

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  • Wim Kellens
  • Tijs Neutens
  • Pieter Deckers
  • Johan Reyns
  • Philippe Maeyer

Abstract

Since coastal tourism is one of the fastest growing sectors of tourism industry, coastal areas have become increasingly vulnerable in the case of flooding. While in recent years a number of different methods have been put forward to map coastal flood risks, the implications of tourism dynamics for the assessment of human casualties has remained largely overlooked in these models. This chapter examines to what extent the ignorance of (residential) coastal tourism may bias the calculations of human casualties. To this end, a case study has been conducted on the Belgian coast. Both the dynamic nature of coastal tourism and the behaviour of residential tourists in storm surge scenarios are considered. The results of this study show that including tourism dynamics in flood risk management is justified and appropriate, depending on the tourist attractiveness of the flood-prone area and its temporal fluctuations. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

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  • Wim Kellens & Tijs Neutens & Pieter Deckers & Johan Reyns & Philippe Maeyer, 2012. "Coastal flood risks and seasonal tourism: analysing the effects of tourism dynamics on casualty calculations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 60(3), pages 1211-1229, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:60:y:2012:i:3:p:1211-1229
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-011-9905-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Milou Kievik & Jan Gutteling, 2011. "Yes, we can: motivate Dutch citizens to engage in self-protective behavior with regard to flood risks," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 59(3), pages 1475-1490, December.
    2. S. Jonkman & J. Vrijling & A. Vrouwenvelder, 2008. "Methods for the estimation of loss of life due to floods: a literature review and a proposal for a new method," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 46(3), pages 353-389, September.
    3. S. Jonkman, 2005. "Global Perspectives on Loss of Human Life Caused by Floods," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 34(2), pages 151-175, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Susanne Becken & Roché Mahon & Hamish Rennie & Aishath Shakeela, 2014. "The tourism disaster vulnerability framework: an application to tourism in small island destinations," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 71(1), pages 955-972, March.
    2. repec:eur:ejfejr:45 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Yan Fang & Jie Yin & Bihu Wu, 2016. "Flooding risk assessment of coastal tourist attractions affected by sea level rise and storm surge: a case study in Zhejiang Province, China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 611-624, October.

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