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Preliminary estimation of the tsunami hazards associated with the Makran subduction zone at the northwestern Indian Ocean

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  • Mohammad Heidarzadeh
  • Moharram Pirooz
  • Nasser Zaker
  • Ahmet Yalciner

Abstract

We present a preliminary estimation of tsunami hazard associated with the Makran subduction zone (MSZ) at the northwestern Indian Ocean. Makran is one of the two main tsunamigenic zones in the Indian Ocean, which has produced some tsunamis in the past. Northwestern Indian Ocean remains one of the least studied regions in the world in terms of tsunami hazard assessment. Hence, a scenario-based method is employed to provide an estimation of tsunami hazard in this region for the first time. The numerical modeling of tsunami is verified using historical observations of the 1945 Makran tsunami. Then, a number of tsunamis each resulting from a 1945-type earthquake (M w 8.1) and spaced evenly along the MSZ are simulated. The results indicate that by moving a 1945-type earthquake along the MSZ, the southern coasts of Iran and Pakistan will experience the largest waves with heights of between 5 and 7 m, depending on the location of the source. The tsunami will reach a height of about 5 m and 2 m in northern coast of Oman and eastern coast of the United Arab Emirates, respectively. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammad Heidarzadeh & Moharram Pirooz & Nasser Zaker & Ahmet Yalciner, 2009. "Preliminary estimation of the tsunami hazards associated with the Makran subduction zone at the northwestern Indian Ocean," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 48(2), pages 229-243, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:48:y:2009:i:2:p:229-243
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-008-9259-x
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    1. Evgueni Kulikov & Alexander Rabinovich & Richard Thomson, 2005. "Estimation of Tsunami Risk for the Coasts of Peru and Northern Chile," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 35(2), pages 185-209, June.
    2. Eric Geist & Tom Parsons, 2006. "Probabilistic Analysis of Tsunami Hazards," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 37(3), pages 277-314, March.
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    4. Mohammad Heidarzadeh & Andrzej Kijko, 2011. "A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Makran subduction zone at the northwestern Indian Ocean," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 56(3), pages 577-593, March.
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