IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v121y2025i3d10.1007_s11069-024-06898-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multi-scale characteristics of drought propagation from meteorological to hydrological phases: variability and impact in the Upper Mekong Delta, Vietnam

Author

Listed:
  • H. V. T. Minh

    (College of Environment and Natural Resources, Can Tho University)

  • P. Kumar

    (Institute for Global Environmental Strategies)

  • N. K. Downes

    (College of Environment and Natural Resources, Can Tho University)

  • N. V. Toan

    (Department of Personnel, Can Tho University)

  • G. Meraj

    (Graduate School of Agricultural and Life Sciences, The University of Tokyo)

  • P. C. Nguyen

    (Can Tho University)

  • K. N. Le

    (Can Tho University)

  • T. V. Ty

    (College of Technology, Can Tho University)

  • K. Lavane

    (Can Tho University)

  • R. Avtar

    (Hokkaido University
    Chennai Institute of Technology)

  • M. Almazroui

    (King Abdulaziz University)

Abstract

The Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD) is highly vulnerable to drought, particularly in the context of climate change. Prolonged drought during the dry season has emerged as a significant natural disaster, severely affecting agriculture and socioeconomic development in the region. To enhance water resource management and agricultural productivity, this study examines the characteristics of meteorological droughts using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) in the upper Mekong Delta of Vietnam. The Mann–Kendall (MK) test and Sen’s slope were employed to assess trends in drought and hydrological conditions. The results reveal no significant trends in rainfall, while average temperatures have increased significantly in most months, especially during the dry season. Although water levels and discharge at the Tan Chau and Chau Doc stations have decreased, significant reductions were primarily observed at Chau Doc station from 2000 to 2021. These findings provide critical insights for sustainable water resource management and planning in the VMD, considering future climate variability and changes in hydrological regimes.

Suggested Citation

  • H. V. T. Minh & P. Kumar & N. K. Downes & N. V. Toan & G. Meraj & P. C. Nguyen & K. N. Le & T. V. Ty & K. Lavane & R. Avtar & M. Almazroui, 2025. "Multi-scale characteristics of drought propagation from meteorological to hydrological phases: variability and impact in the Upper Mekong Delta, Vietnam," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 121(3), pages 2747-2779, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06898-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-024-06898-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-024-06898-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-024-06898-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Qiongfang Li & Tianshan Zeng & Qihui Chen & Xingye Han & Xi Weng & Pengfei He & Zhengmo Zhou & Yao Du, 2023. "Spatio-temporal changes in daily extreme precipitation for the Lancang–Mekong River Basin," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(1), pages 641-672, January.
    2. Veysel Gumus & Oguz Simsek & Yavuz Avsaroglu & Berivan Agun, 2021. "Spatio‐temporal trend analysis of drought in the GAP Region, Turkey," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(2), pages 1759-1776, November.
    3. Subhasis Mitra & Puneet Srivastava, 2017. "Spatiotemporal variability of meteorological droughts in southeastern USA," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(3), pages 1007-1038, April.
    4. Oulavanh Keovilignavong & Tuong Huy Nguyen & Philip Hirsch, 2023. "Reviewing the causes of Mekong drought before and during 2019–20," International Journal of Water Resources Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 155-175, January.
    5. Charles A. Ogunbode & Rouven Doran & Gisela Böhm, 2020. "Exposure to the IPCC special report on 1.5 °C global warming is linked to perceived threat and increased concern about climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 158(3), pages 361-375, February.
    6. Muhammad Nouman Sattar & Jin-Young Lee & Ji-Yae Shin & Tae-Woong Kim, 2019. "Probabilistic Characteristics of Drought Propagation from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought in South Korea," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(7), pages 2439-2452, May.
    7. Arief Anshory Yusuf & Herminia Francisco, 2009. "Climate Change Vulnerability Mapping for Southeast Asia," EEPSEA Special and Technical Paper tp200901s1, Economy and Environment Program for Southeast Asia (EEPSEA), revised Jan 2009.
    8. Sergio Vicente-Serrano, 2006. "Differences in Spatial Patterns of Drought on Different Time Scales: An Analysis of the Iberian Peninsula," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(1), pages 37-60, February.
    9. Holly Ching Yu Lam & Andy Haines & Glenn McGregor & Emily Ying Yang Chan & Shakoor Hajat, 2019. "Time-Series Study of Associations between Rates of People Affected by Disasters and the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Cycle," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(17), pages 1-16, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dilayda Soylu Pekpostalci & Rifat Tur & Ali Danandeh Mehr & Mohammad Amin Vazifekhah Ghaffari & Dominika Dąbrowska & Vahid Nourani, 2023. "Drought Monitoring and Forecasting across Turkey: A Contemporary Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-23, March.
    2. Yixuan Wang & Jianzhu Li & Ping Feng & Rong Hu, 2015. "A Time-Dependent Drought Index for Non-Stationary Precipitation Series," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5631-5647, December.
    3. Busby, Joshua & Smith, Todd G. & Krishnan, Nisha & Wight, Charles & Vallejo-Gutierrez, Santiago, 2018. "In harm's way: Climate security vulnerability in Asia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 88-118.
    4. Javad Bazrafshan & Somayeh Hejabi & Jaber Rahimi, 2014. "Drought Monitoring Using the Multivariate Standardized Precipitation Index (MSPI)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 1045-1060, March.
    5. Brunella Bonaccorso & David Peres & Antonio Castano & Antonino Cancelliere, 2015. "SPI-Based Probabilistic Analysis of Drought Areal Extent in Sicily," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(2), pages 459-470, January.
    6. Karen T. Lourdes & Chris N. Gibbins & Perrine Hamel & Ruzana Sanusi & Badrul Azhar & Alex M. Lechner, 2021. "A Review of Urban Ecosystem Services Research in Southeast Asia," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, January.
    7. Felipe Romero-Perdomo & Juan David Carvajalino-Umaña & Jaime Leonardo Moreno-Gallego & Natalia Ardila & Miguel Ángel González-Curbelo, 2022. "Research Trends on Climate Change and Circular Economy from a Knowledge Mapping Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-17, January.
    8. Ngoc-Lan Huynh, Anh & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Ali, Mumtaz & Abdulla, Shahab & Raj, Nawin, 2021. "Novel short-term solar radiation hybrid model: Long short-term memory network integrated with robust local mean decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    9. Haoyu Jin & Ruida Zhong & Moyang Liu & Changxin Ye & Xiaohong Chen, 2023. "Spatial risk occurrence of extreme precipitation in China under historical and future scenarios," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 119(3), pages 2033-2062, December.
    10. Charles A. Ogunbode & Rouven Doran & Arin H. Ayanian & Joonha Park & Akira Utsugi & Karlijn L. Broek & Jihane Ghorayeb & Sibele D. Aquino & Samuel Lins & John J. B. R. Aruta & Marc E. S. Reyes & Andre, 2024. "Climate justice beliefs related to climate action and policy support around the world," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 14(11), pages 1144-1150, November.
    11. Forsyth, Tim & Evans, Natalie, 2013. "What is autonomous adaption? Resource scarcity and smallholder agency in Thailand," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 45412, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    12. Anwar Hussain & Masoud Reihanifar & Rizwan Niaz & Olayan Albalawi & Mohsen Maghrebi & Abdelkader T. Ahmed & Ali Danandeh Mehr, 2024. "Characterizing Inter-Seasonal Meteorological Drought Using Random Effect Logistic Regression," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-20, September.
    13. Glwadys A. Gbetibouo & Claudia Ringler & Rashid Hassan, 2010. "Vulnerability of the South African farming sector to climate change and variability: An indicator approach," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 34(3), pages 175-187, August.
    14. Thong Anh Tran & Van Touch, 2024. "How agricultural extension responds to amplified agrarian transitions in mainland Southeast Asia: experts’ reflections," Agriculture and Human Values, Springer;The Agriculture, Food, & Human Values Society (AFHVS), vol. 41(4), pages 1773-1789, December.
    15. Telesca, Luciano & Lovallo, Michele & Lopez-Moreno, Ignacio & Vicente-Serrano, Sergio, 2012. "Investigation of scaling properties in monthly streamflow and Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) time series in the Ebro basin (Spain)," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1662-1678.
    16. S. Balica & N. Wright & F. Meulen, 2012. "A flood vulnerability index for coastal cities and its use in assessing climate change impacts," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 73-105, October.
    17. Shadman, F. & Sadeghipour, S. & Moghavvemi, M. & Saidur, R., 2016. "Drought and energy security in key ASEAN countries," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 50-58.
    18. Melissa Marschke & Ouk Lykhim & Nong Kim, 2014. "Can Local Institutions Help Sustain Livelihoods in an Era of Fish Declines and Persistent Environmental Change? A Cambodian Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(5), pages 1-16, April.
    19. Muhammad Jehanzaib & Sabab Ali Shah & Ji Eun Kim & Tae-Woong Kim, 2023. "Exploring spatio-temporal variation of drought characteristics and propagation under climate change using multi-model ensemble projections," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(3), pages 2483-2503, February.
    20. Arief Anshory Yusuf, 2011. "Conservation and Climate Change Mitigation: A Framework and Principles from Regional Government’s Perspective and Its Financing Implication," Working Papers in Economics and Development Studies (WoPEDS) 201101, Department of Economics, Padjadjaran University, revised Jun 2011.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:121:y:2025:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-024-06898-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.