IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/nathaz/v103y2020i1d10.1007_s11069-020-04006-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Observed changes in extreme rain indices in semiarid and humid regions of Godavari basin, India: risks and opportunities

Author

Listed:
  • Aradhana Yaduvanshi

    (Watershed Organisation Trust (WOTR))

  • Ashwini Kulkarni

    (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology)

  • Ramkumar Bendapudi

    (Independent Researcher)

  • Kaushik Haldar

    (Ranchi University)

Abstract

The present study examines the spatial and temporal changes in extreme rainfall events (EREs) across the Godavari river basin to develop adaptation strategies for vulnerable regions by understanding opportunities and risks. Indices such as consecutive dry and wet days, daily intensity, one-day highest precipitation, days with rainfall > 10 mm and 20 mm have been computed over the Godavari basin for the time period 1901–2015, and changes are compared between the two time periods 1901–1976 and 1977–2015. This study examines long-term trends on monthly and seasonal scales and climatological characteristics of EREs to understand the observed spatiotemporal changes in EREs. Analysis of EREs in the monsoon months further indicates significant trends over both traditionally “high-rainfall regions” (Humid) and “low-rainfall regions” (semiarid). In low-rainfall region, an increase in mean and coefficient of variability of annual rainfall has been identified during 1977–2015 as compared to pre-1977 period. It is also found that the month of September experienced statistically significant increase in frequency and intensity of all wet extreme rain indices during the period 1977–2015. Extremes in high- and low-rainfall regions show significant increase during 1977–2015 as compared to 1901–1976. Century scale analysis of extreme events with reference to regional level changes would help in looking at the grass root reality for the estimation of water budget as well as for developing region-specific adaptation measures and crop contingency plans. These findings would feed into state action plan for climate change to take appropriate measures to combat changing and rapidly occurring EREs in different climate zones of Godavari basin. Graphic abstract

Suggested Citation

  • Aradhana Yaduvanshi & Ashwini Kulkarni & Ramkumar Bendapudi & Kaushik Haldar, 2020. "Observed changes in extreme rain indices in semiarid and humid regions of Godavari basin, India: risks and opportunities," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(1), pages 685-711, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04006-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04006-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11069-020-04006-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11069-020-04006-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Subimal Ghosh & Debasish Das & Shih-Chieh Kao & Auroop R. Ganguly, 2012. "Lack of uniform trends but increasing spatial variability in observed Indian rainfall extremes," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(2), pages 86-91, February.
    2. Winsemius, Hessel C. & Jongman, Brenden & Veldkamp, Ted I.E. & Hallegatte, Stephane & Bangalore, Mook & Ward, Philip J., 2018. "Disaster risk, climate change, and poverty: assessing the global exposure of poor people to floods and droughts," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(3), pages 328-348, June.
    3. M. K. Roxy & Subimal Ghosh & Amey Pathak & R. Athulya & Milind Mujumdar & Raghu Murtugudde & Pascal Terray & M. Rajeevan, 2017. "A threefold rise in widespread extreme rain events over central India," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 8(1), pages 1-11, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Manabendra Saharia & Avish Jain & Ronit Raj Baishya & Saagar Haobam & O. P. Sreejith & D. S. Pai & Arezoo Rafieeinasab, 2021. "India flood inventory: creation of a multi-source national geospatial database to facilitate comprehensive flood research," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 619-633, August.
    2. Tejasvi Chauhan & Anjana Devanand & Mathew Koll Roxy & Karumuri Ashok & Subimal Ghosh, 2023. "River interlinking alters land-atmosphere feedback and changes the Indian summer monsoon," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    3. Richard S. J. Tol, 2021. "The Economic Impact of Climate in the Long Run," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anil Markandya & Dirk Rübbelke (ed.), CLIMATE AND DEVELOPMENT, chapter 1, pages 3-36, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Peter Tangney & Claire Nettle & Beverley Clarke & Joshua Newman & Cassandra Star, 2021. "Climate security in the Indo-Pacific: a systematic review of governance challenges for enhancing regional climate resilience," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(3), pages 1-30, August.
    5. Castells-Quintana, David & del Pilar Lopez-Uribe, Maria & McDermott, Thomas K.J., 2018. "A review of adaptation to climate change through a development economics lens," Working Papers 309605, National University of Ireland, Galway, Socio-Economic Marine Research Unit.
    6. Seoyong Kim & Seol A. Kwon & Jae Eun Lee & Byeong-Cheol Ahn & Ju Ho Lee & Chen An & Keiko Kitagawa & Dohyeong Kim & Jaesun Wang, 2020. "Analyzing the Role of Resource Factors in Citizens’ Intention to Pay for and Participate in Disaster Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-25, April.
    7. Syed Abu Shoaib & Mohammad Zaved Kaiser Khan & Nahid Sultana & Taufique H. Mahmood, 2021. "Quantifying Uncertainty in Food Security Modeling," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-16, January.
    8. van der Weide, Roy & Blankespoor, Brian & Elbers, Chris & Lanjouw, Peter, 2024. "How accurate is a poverty map based on remote sensing data? An application to Malawi," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    9. Willian Sierra-Barón & Pablo Olivos-Jara & Andrés Gómez-Acosta & Oscar Navarro, 2023. "Environmental Identity, Connectedness with Nature, and Well-Being as Predictors of Pro-Environmental Behavior, and Their Comparison between Inhabitants of Rural and Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-14, March.
    10. Richard S. J. Tol, 2022. "State capacity and vulnerability to natural disasters," Chapters, in: Mark Skidmore (ed.), Handbook on the Economics of Disasters, chapter 20, pages 434-457, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    11. Vimal Mishra & Reepal Shah & Amit Garg, 2016. "Climate Change in Madhya Pradesh: Indicators, Impacts and Adaptation," Working Papers id:10844, eSocialSciences.
    12. Claudio Fabian Szlafsztein & Andréa Nazaré Barata Araújo, 2021. "Autonomous flood adaptation measures in Amazonian cities (Belem, Brazil)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 108(1), pages 1069-1087, August.
    13. Li Ma & Shijun Wang & Anders Wästfelt, 2022. "The Poverty of Farmers in a Main Grain-Producing Area in Northeast China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-16, April.
    14. Md. Nawrose Fatemi & Seth Asare Okyere & Stephen Kofi Diko & Michihiro Kita & Motoki Shimoda & Shigeki Matsubara, 2020. "Physical Vulnerability and Local Responses to Flood Damage in Peri-Urban Areas of Dhaka, Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-23, May.
    15. Azzarri, Carlo & Signorelli, Sara, 2020. "Climate and poverty in Africa South of the Sahara," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    16. Rio Yonson & Ilan Noy, 2020. "Disaster Risk Management Policies and the Measurement of Resilience for Philippine Regions," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(2), pages 254-275, February.
    17. Jinxiu Liu & Weihao Shen & Yaqian He, 2021. "Effects of Cropland Expansion on Temperature Extremes in Western India from 1982 to 2015," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-17, May.
    18. Donggyu Yi & Hyundo Choi, 2020. "Housing Market Response to New Flood Risk Information and the Impact on Poor Tenant," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 55-79, June.
    19. Raj, Renjith & Sofi, Arfat Ahmad, 2023. "Does climate change leads to severe household-level vulnerability? Evidence from the Western Ghats of Kerala, India," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    20. Stéphane Hallegatte & Adrien Vogt-Schilb & Julie Rozenberg & Mook Bangalore & Chloé Beaudet, 2020. "From Poverty to Disaster and Back: a Review of the Literature," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 223-247, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04006-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.