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Earthquake risk–sensitive model for urban land use planning

Author

Listed:
  • Hooman Motamed

    (International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES))

  • Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany

    (International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES))

  • Kambod Amini-Hosseini

    (International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES))

  • Babak Mansouri

    (International Institute of Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (IIEES))

  • Bijan Khazai

    (Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction Technology (CEDIM))

Abstract

This paper outlines an optimisation model for land use planning which could be used by public officials and other stakeholders to prepare a risk-sensitive development plan fulfilling standard regulations of urban planning with an emphasis on earthquake protection. The presented model is based on a mixed integer quadratic programming method that produces an optimal land use distribution for a given urban area. A number of standard planning criteria namely land use suitability, accessibility and permeability to critical facilities and public services, land use resistance to change, provision of required land uses, as well as seismic hazard avoidance have been incorporated into the model. The performance of the model has been verified by benchmarking the generated outputs against expert-made plans for a pilot area in District 17th of the city of Tehran, Iran.

Suggested Citation

  • Hooman Motamed & Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany & Kambod Amini-Hosseini & Babak Mansouri & Bijan Khazai, 2020. "Earthquake risk–sensitive model for urban land use planning," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(1), pages 87-102, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:103:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s11069-020-03960-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-03960-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lindsey Ward Lyles & Philip Berke & Gavin Smith, 2014. "Do planners matter? Examining factors driving incorporation of land use approaches into hazard mitigation plans," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(5), pages 792-811, May.
    2. Mingwu Ye & Jun Wang & Jing Huang & Shiyuan Xu & Zhenlou Chen, 2012. "Methodology and its application for community-scale evacuation planning against earthquake disaster," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 61(3), pages 881-892, April.
    3. M. Hajibabaee & K. Amini-Hosseini & M. Ghayamghamian, 2014. "Earthquake risk assessment in urban fabrics based on physical, socioeconomic and response capacity parameters (a case study: Tehran city)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(3), pages 2229-2250, December.
    4. Hooman Motamed & Bijan Khazai & Mohsen Ghafory-Ashtiany & Kambod Amini-Hosseini, 2014. "An automated model for optimizing budget allocation in earthquake mitigation scenarios," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 70(1), pages 51-68, January.
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