IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jcomop/v42y2021i4d10.1007_s10878-019-00482-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Improved gray neural network model for healthcare waste recycling forecasting

Author

Listed:
  • Hao Hao

    (Shanghai Polytechnic University)

  • Ji Zhang

    (Shanghai Polytechnic University)

  • Qian Zhang

    (Shanghai University)

  • Li Yao

    (Shanghai Polytechnic University)

  • Yichen Sun

    (Shanghai Polytechnic University)

Abstract

This paper addresses the problem of predicting multiple factors of health care waste recycling for promoting the construction of ecological civilization against the background of a comprehensive implementation of the “healthy China” strategy. In this paper, an improved gray neural network model is developed for recovery prediction. The one order single variable gray model and triple exponential smoothing are used for predicting the factors affecting recovery. A particle swarm optimization optimized back propagation (BP) neural network is trained by selecting higher-prediction results by precision comparison, and the trained BP neural network is used to predict the recovery of health care waste. Taking Shanghai as an example, this paper uses the actual data about Shanghai health care waste during 2013–2017, and the historical data of 11 factors affecting the recovery amount; these are used for empirical analysis. The results of this research show that the gray neural network performs better than other benchmark models and traditional predictive models. An accurate prediction of the amount of health care waste recovered can help decision-makers to implement recycling, and can serve as a reference for governmental departments, helping them to formulate relevant laws and regulations, develop a variety of tasks, and rationally allocate resources.

Suggested Citation

  • Hao Hao & Ji Zhang & Qian Zhang & Li Yao & Yichen Sun, 2021. "Improved gray neural network model for healthcare waste recycling forecasting," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 813-830, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jcomop:v:42:y:2021:i:4:d:10.1007_s10878-019-00482-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10878-019-00482-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10878-019-00482-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10878-019-00482-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bahrami, Saadat & Hooshmand, Rahmat-Allah & Parastegari, Moein, 2014. "Short term electric load forecasting by wavelet transform and grey model improved by PSO (particle swarm optimization) algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 434-442.
    2. Wei Niu & Juan Cheng & Guoqing Wang, 2013. "Applications of extension grey prediction model for power system forecasting," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 555-567, October.
    3. Bing Wang & Xingbao Han & Xianxia Zhang & Shaohua Zhang, 2015. "Predictive-reactive scheduling for single surgical suite subject to random emergency surgery," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 949-966, November.
    4. Yanqin Bai & Xiao Han & Tong Chen & Hua Yu, 2015. "Quadratic kernel-free least squares support vector machine for target diseases classification," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 850-870, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hao Hao & Ji Zhang & Qian Zhang & Li Yao & Yichen Sun, 0. "Improved gray neural network model for healthcare waste recycling forecasting," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-18.
    2. Zhiguo Wang & Lufei Huang & Cici Xiao He, 2021. "A multi-objective and multi-period optimization model for urban healthcare waste’s reverse logistics network design," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 42(4), pages 785-812, November.
    3. Zhiguo Wang & Lufei Huang & Cici Xiao He, 0. "A multi-objective and multi-period optimization model for urban healthcare waste’s reverse logistics network design," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-28.
    4. Wei Sun & Chongchong Zhang, 2018. "A Hybrid BA-ELM Model Based on Factor Analysis and Similar-Day Approach for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, May.
    5. Dongxiao Niu & Yi Liang & Wei-Chiang Hong, 2017. "Wind Speed Forecasting Based on EMD and GRNN Optimized by FOA," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-18, December.
    6. Hannah Jessie Rani R. & Aruldoss Albert Victoire T., 2018. "Training radial basis function networks for wind speed prediction using PSO enhanced differential search optimizer," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(5), pages 1-35, May.
    7. Da Liu & Kun Sun & Han Huang & Pingzhou Tang, 2018. "Monthly Load Forecasting Based on Economic Data by Decomposition Integration Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-22, September.
    8. Xinyu Han & Rongrong Li, 2019. "Comparison of Forecasting Energy Consumption in East Africa Using the MGM, NMGM, MGM-ARIMA, and NMGM-ARIMA Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-24, August.
    9. Gao, Zheming & Fang, Shu-Cherng & Luo, Jian & Medhin, Negash, 2021. "A kernel-free double well potential support vector machine with applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(1), pages 248-262.
    10. Wei Gao & Wuping Bao & Xin Zhou, 2019. "Analysis of cough detection index based on decision tree and support vector machine," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 375-384, January.
    11. Duma, Davide & Aringhieri, Roberto, 2019. "The management of non-elective patients: shared vs. dedicated policies," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 199-212.
    12. Yang, Zhongshan & Wang, Jian, 2018. "A hybrid forecasting approach applied in wind speed forecasting based on a data processing strategy and an optimized artificial intelligence algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 87-100.
    13. Ding, Song, 2018. "A novel self-adapting intelligent grey model for forecasting China's natural-gas demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 393-407.
    14. Yang, YouLong & Che, JinXing & Li, YanYing & Zhao, YanJun & Zhu, SuLing, 2016. "An incremental electric load forecasting model based on support vector regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 796-808.
    15. Nana Geng & Yong Zhang & Yixiang Sun & Yunjian Jiang & Dandan Chen, 2015. "Forecasting China’s Annual Biofuel Production Using an Improved Grey Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-20, October.
    16. Tuncay Özcan, 2017. "Application of Seasonal and Multivariable Grey Prediction Models for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 5(2), pages 329-338, December.
    17. Jing Yu & Lining Xing & Xu Tan, 0. "The new treatment mode research of hepatitis B based on ant colony algorithm," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-20.
    18. Gang Du & Xi Liang & Xiaoling Ouyang & Chunming Wang, 0. "Risk prediction of hypertension complications based on the intelligent algorithm optimized Bayesian network," Journal of Combinatorial Optimization, Springer, vol. 0, pages 1-22.
    19. Fan, Guo-Feng & Yu, Meng & Dong, Song-Qiao & Yeh, Yi-Hsuan & Hong, Wei-Chiang, 2021. "Forecasting short-term electricity load using hybrid support vector regression with grey catastrophe and random forest modeling," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    20. Arne Schulz & Malte Fliedner, 2023. "Minimizing the expected waiting time of emergency jobs," Journal of Scheduling, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 147-167, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jcomop:v:42:y:2021:i:4:d:10.1007_s10878-019-00482-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.