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Natural hazards in Australia: floods

Author

Listed:
  • Fiona Johnson

    (UNSW)

  • Christopher J. White

    (University of Tasmania
    University of Tasmania)

  • Albert Dijk

    (Australian National University)

  • Marie Ekstrom

    (Land and Water, Commonwealth Science and Industrial Research Organisation)

  • Jason P. Evans

    (UNSW)

  • Dörte Jakob

    (Environment and Research Division, Bureau of Meteorology)

  • Anthony S. Kiem

    (University of Newcastle)

  • Michael Leonard

    (University of Adelaide)

  • Alexandra Rouillard

    (The University of Western Australia
    University of Copenhagen)

  • Seth Westra

    (University of Adelaide)

Abstract

Floods are caused by a number of interacting factors, making it remarkably difficult to explain changes in flood hazard. This paper reviews the current understanding of historical trends and variability in flood hazard across Australia. Links between flood and rainfall trends cannot be made due to the influence of climate processes over a number of spatial and temporal scales as well as landscape changes that affect the catchment response. There are also still considerable uncertainties in future rainfall projections, particularly for sub-daily extreme rainfall events. This is in addition to the inherent uncertainty in hydrological modelling such as antecedent conditions and feedback mechanisms. Research questions are posed based on the current state of knowledge. These include a need for high-resolution climate modelling studies and efforts in compiling and analysing databases of sub-daily rainfall and flood records. Finally there is a need to develop modelling frameworks that can deal with the interaction between climate processes at different spatio-temporal scales, so that historical flood trends can be better explained and future flood behaviour understood.

Suggested Citation

  • Fiona Johnson & Christopher J. White & Albert Dijk & Marie Ekstrom & Jason P. Evans & Dörte Jakob & Anthony S. Kiem & Michael Leonard & Alexandra Rouillard & Seth Westra, 2016. "Natural hazards in Australia: floods," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(1), pages 21-35, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:139:y:2016:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-016-1689-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1689-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elizabeth J. Kendon & Nigel M. Roberts & Hayley J. Fowler & Malcolm J. Roberts & Steven C. Chan & Catherine A. Senior, 2014. "Heavier summer downpours with climate change revealed by weather forecast resolution model," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(7), pages 570-576, July.
    2. Myles Allen, 2003. "Liability for climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 421(6926), pages 891-892, February.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alaa Ahmed & Abdullah Alrajhi & Abdulaziz Alquwaizany & Ali Al Maliki & Guna Hewa, 2022. "Flood Susceptibility Mapping Using Watershed Geomorphic Data in the Onkaparinga Basin, South Australia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-23, December.
    2. Anastasia Mortimer & Iftekhar Ahmed & Thomas Johnson & Liyaning Tang & Margaret Alston, 2023. "Localizing Sustainable Development Goal 13 on Climate Action to Build Local Resilience to Floods in the Hunter Valley: A Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-17, March.
    3. Anthony S. Kiem & Fiona Johnson & Seth Westra & Albert Dijk & Jason P. Evans & Alison O’Donnell & Alexandra Rouillard & Cameron Barr & Jonathan Tyler & Mark Thyer & Doerte Jakob & Fitsum Woldemeskel &, 2016. "Natural hazards in Australia: droughts," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(1), pages 37-54, November.
    4. Tewodros Assefa Nigussie & Abdusselam Altunkaynak, 2019. "Modeling the effect of urbanization on flood risk in Ayamama Watershed, Istanbul, Turkey, using the MIKE 21 FM model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 99(2), pages 1031-1047, November.
    5. Seth Westra & Christopher J. White & Anthony S. Kiem, 2016. "Introduction to the special issue: historical and projected climatic changes to Australian natural hazards," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(1), pages 1-19, November.

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