IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/annopr/v197y2012i1p109-12210.1007-s10479-010-0734-x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Robust optimization analysis for multiple attribute decision making problems with imprecise information

Author

Listed:
  • Jiamin Wang

Abstract

This paper considers ranking decision alternatives under multiple attributes with imprecise information on both attribute weights and alternative ratings. It is demonstrated that regret results from the decision maker’s inadequate knowledge about the true scenario to occur. Potential optimality analysis is a traditional method to evaluate alternatives with imprecise information. The essence of this approach is to identify any alternative that outperforms the others in its best-case scenario. Our analysis shows that potential optimality analysis is optimistic in nature and may lead to a significant loss if an unfavorable scenario occurs. We suggest a robust optimization analysis approach that ranks alternatives in terms of their worst-case absolute or relative regret. A robust optimal alternative performs reasonably well in all scenarios and is shown to be desirable for a risk-concerned decision maker. Linear programming models are developed to check robust optimality. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Jiamin Wang, 2012. "Robust optimization analysis for multiple attribute decision making problems with imprecise information," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 197(1), pages 109-122, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:197:y:2012:i:1:p:109-122:10.1007/s10479-010-0734-x
    DOI: 10.1007/s10479-010-0734-x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10479-010-0734-x
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10479-010-0734-x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yu-Ping Ou Yang & How-Ming Shieh & Jun-Der Leu & Gwo-Hshiung Tzeng, 2009. "A Vikor-Based Multiple Criteria Decision Method For Improving Information Security Risk," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(02), pages 267-287.
    2. Deng-Feng Li, 2009. "Relative Ratio Method For Multiple Attribute Decision Making Problems," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(02), pages 289-311.
    3. Craig W. Kirkwood & Rakesh K. Sarin, 1985. "Ranking with Partial Information: A Method and an Application," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 33(1), pages 38-48, February.
    4. Gordon B. Hazen, 1986. "Partial Information, Dominance, and Potential Optimality in Multiattribute Utility Theory," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 34(2), pages 296-310, April.
    5. Ayeley P. Tchangani, 2009. "Evaluation Model For Multiattributes–Multiagents Decision Making: Satisficing Game Approach," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(01), pages 73-91.
    6. Charles F. Manski, 2004. "Statistical Treatment Rules for Heterogeneous Populations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(4), pages 1221-1246, July.
    7. Weber, Martin, 1987. "Decision making with incomplete information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 44-57, January.
    8. Stewart, TJ, 1992. "A critical survey on the status of multiple criteria decision making theory and practice," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 20(5-6), pages 569-586.
    9. Zeelenberg, M., 1999. "Anticipated regret, expected feedback and behavioral decision-making," Other publications TiSEM 38371d1b-31fd-45b0-860f-b, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    10. Peter C. Fishburn, 1965. "Analysis of Decisions with Incomplete Knowledge of Probabilities," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 13(2), pages 217-237, April.
    11. Sam Park, Kyung & Sang Lee, Kyung & Seong Eum, Yun & Park, Kwangtae, 2001. "Extended methods for identifying dominance and potential optimality in multi-criteria analysis with imprecise information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 557-563, November.
    12. Murat Köksalan & Ceren Tuncer, 2009. "A Dea-Based Approach To Ranking Multi-Criteria Alternatives," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(01), pages 29-54.
    13. Saaty, Thomas L. & Vargas, Luis G., 1987. "Uncertainty and rank order in the analytic hierarchy process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 32(1), pages 107-117, October.
    14. Gilboa, Itzhak & Schmeidler, David, 1989. "Maxmin expected utility with non-unique prior," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 141-153, April.
    15. David E. Bell, 1985. "Disappointment in Decision Making Under Uncertainty," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 33(1), pages 1-27, February.
    16. L C Dias & J N Clímaco, 2000. "Additive aggregation with variable interdependent parameters: the VIP analysis software," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 51(9), pages 1070-1082, September.
    17. Han-Lin Li & Li-Ching Ma, 2008. "Ranking Decision Alternatives By Integrated Dea, Ahp And Gower Plot Techniques," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 7(02), pages 241-258.
    18. John M. Mulvey & Robert J. Vanderbei & Stavros A. Zenios, 1995. "Robust Optimization of Large-Scale Systems," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 43(2), pages 264-281, April.
    19. A. Ben-Tal & A. Nemirovski, 1998. "Robust Convex Optimization," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 23(4), pages 769-805, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Meimei Xia & Jian Chen & Xiao-Jun Zeng, 2018. "Decision Analysis on Choquet Integral-Based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making with Imprecise Information," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 677-704, March.
    2. João Carneiro & Luís Conceição & Diogo Martinho & Goreti Marreiros & Paulo Novais, 2018. "Including cognitive aspects in multiple criteria decision analysis," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 265(2), pages 269-291, June.
    3. Meimei Xia & Jian Chen & Juliang Zhang, 2015. "Multi-criteria decision making based on relative measures," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 229(1), pages 791-811, June.
    4. Sirbiladze, Gia & Khutsishvili, Irina & Ghvaberidze, Bezhan, 2014. "Multistage decision-making fuzzy methodology for optimal investments based on experts’ evaluations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 232(1), pages 169-177.
    5. Che Xu & Wenjun Chang & Weiyong Liu, 2023. "Data-driven decision model based on local two-stage weighted ensemble learning," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 325(2), pages 995-1028, June.
    6. Chao Fu & Dong-Ling Xu, 2016. "Determining attribute weights to improve solution reliability and its application to selecting leading industries," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 245(1), pages 401-426, October.
    7. Chao Fu & Weiyong Liu & Wenjun Chang, 2020. "Data-driven multiple criteria decision making for diagnosis of thyroid cancer," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 293(2), pages 833-862, October.
    8. Panagiotis Kontogiorgos & Nikolaos Chrysanthopoulos & George P. Papavassilopoulos, 2018. "A Mixed-Integer Programming Model for Assessing Energy-Saving Investments in Domestic Buildings under Uncertainty," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-14, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Meimei Xia & Jian Chen & Xiao-Jun Zeng, 2018. "Decision Analysis on Choquet Integral-Based Multi-Criteria Decision-Making with Imprecise Information," International Journal of Information Technology & Decision Making (IJITDM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 677-704, March.
    2. Kim, Soung Hie & Han, Chang Hee, 2000. "Establishing dominance between alternatives with incomplete information in a hierarchically structured attribute tree," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 79-90, April.
    3. Vetschera, Rudolf, 2017. "Deriving rankings from incomplete preference information: A comparison of different approaches," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 258(1), pages 244-253.
    4. de Almeida, Jonatas Araujo & Costa, Ana Paula Cabral Seixas & de Almeida-Filho, Adiel Teixeira, 2016. "A new method for elicitation of criteria weights in additive models: Flexible and interactive tradeoffAuthor-Name: de Almeida, Adiel Teixeira," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 250(1), pages 179-191.
    5. K S Park & I Jeong, 2011. "How to treat strict preference information in multicriteria decision analysis," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 62(10), pages 1771-1783, October.
    6. A Mateos & S Ríos-Insua & A Jiménez, 2007. "Dominance, potential optimality and alternative ranking in imprecise multi-attribute decision making," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 58(3), pages 326-336, March.
    7. Salo, Ahti A., 1995. "Interactive decision aiding for group decision support," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 134-149, July.
    8. Liesio, Juuso & Mild, Pekka & Salo, Ahti, 2007. "Preference programming for robust portfolio modeling and project selection," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 181(3), pages 1488-1505, September.
    9. Jiménez, Antonio & Mateos, Alfonso & Ríos-Insua, Sixto, 2009. "Missing consequences in multiattribute utility theory," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 395-410, April.
    10. G Özerol & E Karasakal, 2008. "Interactive outranking approaches for multicriteria decision-making problems with imprecise information," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 59(9), pages 1253-1268, September.
    11. Sam Park, Kyung & Sang Lee, Kyung & Seong Eum, Yun & Park, Kwangtae, 2001. "Extended methods for identifying dominance and potential optimality in multi-criteria analysis with imprecise information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 134(3), pages 557-563, November.
    12. Vetschera, Rudolf, 1996. "Multi-criteria agency theory," Discussion Papers, Series I 280, University of Konstanz, Department of Economics.
    13. Harju, Mikko & Liesiö, Juuso & Virtanen, Kai, 2019. "Spatial multi-attribute decision analysis: Axiomatic foundations and incomplete preference information," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 275(1), pages 167-181.
    14. Antti Punkka & Ahti Salo, 2014. "Scale Dependence and Ranking Intervals in Additive Value Models Under Incomplete Preference Information," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 11(2), pages 83-104, June.
    15. Vetschera, Rudolf & Chen, Ye & Hipel, Keith W. & Marc Kilgour, D., 2010. "Robustness and information levels in case-based multiple criteria sorting," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(3), pages 841-852, May.
    16. Podinovski, Vladislav V., 2014. "Decision making under uncertainty with unknown utility function and rank-ordered probabilities," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 239(2), pages 537-541.
    17. Hayashi, Kiyotada, 1998. "Multicriteria aid for agricultural decisions using preference relations: methodology and application," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 58(4), pages 483-503, December.
    18. Corina Birghila & Tim J. Boonen & Mario Ghossoub, 2023. "Optimal insurance under maxmin expected utility," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 467-501, April.
    19. Juho Kokkala & Kimmo Berg & Kai Virtanen & Jirka Poropudas, 2019. "Rationalizable strategies in games with incomplete preferences," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 86(2), pages 185-204, March.
    20. Luis V. Montiel & J. Eric Bickel, 2014. "A Generalized Sampling Approach for Multilinear Utility Functions Given Partial Preference Information," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 11(3), pages 147-170, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:annopr:v:197:y:2012:i:1:p:109-122:10.1007/s10479-010-0734-x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.