IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/aistmt/v75y2023i1d10.1007_s10463-022-00838-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Selective inference after feature selection via multiscale bootstrap

Author

Listed:
  • Yoshikazu Terada

    (Osaka University)

  • Hidetoshi Shimodaira

    (Kyoto University
    Jointly affiliated at RIKEN Center for Advanced Intelligence Project (AIP))

Abstract

It is common to show the confidence intervals or p-values of selected features, or predictor variables in regression, but they often involve selection bias. The selective inference approach solves this bias by conditioning on the selection event. Most existing studies of selective inference consider a specific algorithm, such as Lasso, for feature selection, and thus they have difficulties in handling more complicated algorithms. Moreover, existing studies often consider unnecessarily restrictive events, leading to over-conditioning and lower statistical power. Our novel and widely applicable resampling method via multiscale bootstrap addresses these issues to compute an approximately unbiased selective p-value for the selected features. As a simplification of the proposed method, we also develop a simpler method via the classical bootstrap. We prove that the p-value computed by our multiscale bootstrap method is more accurate than the classical bootstrap method. Furthermore, numerical experiments demonstrate that our algorithm works well even for more complicated feature selection methods such as non-convex regularization.

Suggested Citation

  • Yoshikazu Terada & Hidetoshi Shimodaira, 2023. "Selective inference after feature selection via multiscale bootstrap," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 75(1), pages 99-125, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:aistmt:v:75:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s10463-022-00838-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10463-022-00838-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10463-022-00838-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10463-022-00838-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fan J. & Li R., 2001. "Variable Selection via Nonconcave Penalized Likelihood and its Oracle Properties," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1348-1360, December.
    2. Ryan J. Tibshirani & Jonathan Taylor & Richard Lockhart & Robert Tibshirani, 2016. "Exact Post-Selection Inference for Sequential Regression Procedures," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 111(514), pages 600-620, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Huang, Yuan & Li, Changcheng & Li, Runze & Yang, Songshan, 2022. "An overview of tests on high-dimensional means," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    2. Xiaorui Zhu & Yichen Qin & Peng Wang, 2023. "Sparsified Simultaneous Confidence Intervals for High-Dimensional Linear Models," Papers 2307.07574, arXiv.org.
    3. Awijen, Haithem & Ben Zaied, Younes & Ben Lahouel, Béchir & Khlifi, Foued, 2023. "Machine learning for US cross-industry return predictability under information uncertainty," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    4. Tutz, Gerhard & Pößnecker, Wolfgang & Uhlmann, Lorenz, 2015. "Variable selection in general multinomial logit models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 207-222.
    5. Guan, Wei & Gray, Alexander, 2013. "Sparse high-dimensional fractional-norm support vector machine via DC programming," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 136-148.
    6. Margherita Giuzio, 2017. "Genetic algorithm versus classical methods in sparse index tracking," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 40(1), pages 243-256, November.
    7. Chang, Jinyuan & Chen, Song Xi & Chen, Xiaohong, 2015. "High dimensional generalized empirical likelihood for moment restrictions with dependent data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 283-304.
    8. Xu, Yang & Zhao, Shishun & Hu, Tao & Sun, Jianguo, 2021. "Variable selection for generalized odds rate mixture cure models with interval-censored failure time data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    9. Alexandre Belloni & Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Christian Hansen & Kengo Kato, 2018. "High-dimensional econometrics and regularized GMM," CeMMAP working papers CWP35/18, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    10. Emmanouil Androulakis & Christos Koukouvinos & Kalliopi Mylona & Filia Vonta, 2010. "A real survival analysis application via variable selection methods for Cox's proportional hazards model," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 1399-1406.
    11. Meng An & Haixiang Zhang, 2023. "High-Dimensional Mediation Analysis for Time-to-Event Outcomes with Additive Hazards Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-11, December.
    12. Hao Wang & Hao Zeng & Jiashan Wang, 2022. "An extrapolated iteratively reweighted $$\ell _1$$ ℓ 1 method with complexity analysis," Computational Optimization and Applications, Springer, vol. 83(3), pages 967-997, December.
    13. Lili Pan & Ziyan Luo & Naihua Xiu, 2017. "Restricted Robinson Constraint Qualification and Optimality for Cardinality-Constrained Cone Programming," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 175(1), pages 104-118, October.
    14. Michael Hintermüller & Tao Wu, 2014. "A superlinearly convergent R-regularized Newton scheme for variational models with concave sparsity-promoting priors," Computational Optimization and Applications, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 1-25, January.
    15. Anastasiou, Andreas & Cribben, Ivor & Fryzlewicz, Piotr, 2022. "Cross-covariance isolate detect: a new change-point method for estimating dynamic functional connectivity," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 112148, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    16. Ni, Xiao & Zhang, Hao Helen & Zhang, Daowen, 2009. "Automatic model selection for partially linear models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(9), pages 2100-2111, October.
    17. Jun Yan & Jian Huang, 2012. "Model Selection for Cox Models with Time-Varying Coefficients," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 68(2), pages 419-428, June.
    18. Gerhard Tutz & Moritz Berger, 2018. "Tree-structured modelling of categorical predictors in generalized additive regression," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 12(3), pages 737-758, September.
    19. Min Tao & Jiang-Ning Li, 2023. "Error Bound and Isocost Imply Linear Convergence of DCA-Based Algorithms to D-Stationarity," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 197(1), pages 205-232, April.
    20. Jun Lu & Shao Yi, 2022. "Reducing Overestimating and Underestimating Volatility via the Augmented Blending-ARCH Model," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(2), pages 48-59, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:aistmt:v:75:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1007_s10463-022-00838-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.