IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sgm/jbfeuw/v1y2018i9p52-59.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Animal Spirits and Risk in Financial Markets

Author

Listed:
  • Jukka Ilomäki

    (University of Tampere)

Abstract

Keynes argues that a beauty contest in financial markets is a combination of rational higher-order beliefs and market psychology or animal spirits. We find that a stable equilibrium, where also market psychology is included, can be possible if uninformed investors agree to reduce their required rate of return indicating that they enlarge the risk of their investment with the animal spirits component.

Suggested Citation

  • Jukka Ilomäki, 2018. "Animal Spirits and Risk in Financial Markets," Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, University of Warsaw, Faculty of Management, vol. 1(9), pages 52-59, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:sgm:jbfeuw:v:1:y:2018:i:9:p:52-59
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.wz.uw.edu.pl/portaleFiles/3842-journal-of-b/articles/jbfe_1_9_2018/JBFE_1(9)2018_3-Ilomaki_kor2.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. De Long, J Bradford, et al, 1990. "Positive Feedback Investment Strategies and Destabilizing Rational Speculation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 379-395, June.
    2. Robert J. Shiller, 2014. "Speculative Asset Prices (Nobel Prize Lecture)," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1936, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
    3. Philippe Bacchetta & Eric Van Wincoop, 2008. "Higher Order Expectations in Asset Pricing," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 40(5), pages 837-866, August.
    4. Jukka Ilomäki, 2017. "Connecting Theory And Empirics For Animal Spirits, Returns And Interest Rates: A Clarification Of “Risk-Free Rates And Animal Spirits In Financial Markets”," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(01), pages 1-2, March.
    5. Robert J. Shiller, 2014. "Speculative Asset Prices," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 104(6), pages 1486-1517, June.
    6. Shleifer, Andrei & Vishny, Robert W, 1997. "The Limits of Arbitrage," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 35-55, March.
    7. Froot, Kenneth A & Scharftstein, David S & Stein, Jeremy C, 1992. "Herd on the Street: Informational Inefficiencies in a Market with Short-Term Speculation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 47(4), pages 1461-1484, September.
    8. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    9. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    10. Paul A. Samuelson, 1973. "Proof That Properly Discounted Present Values of Assets Vibrate Randomly," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 4(2), pages 369-374, Autumn.
    11. Franklin Allen & Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2006. "Beauty Contests and Iterated Expectations in Asset Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(3), pages 719-752.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ilomäki, Jukka & Laurila, Hannu, 2018. "Animal spirits in financial markets: Experimental evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 99-104.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jukka Ilomäki, 2017. "Animal spirits, beauty contests and expected returns," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 41(3), pages 474-486, July.
    2. Jukka Ilomäki, 2016. "Risk-Free Rates And Animal Spirits In Financial Markets," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 11(03), pages 1-18, September.
    3. Ilomaki Jukka & Laurila Hannu, 2017. "Endogenous Real Risk-Free Rate, the Central Bank, and Stock Market," Working Papers 1713, Tampere University, Faculty of Management and Business, Economics.
    4. Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila, 2021. "Leaning against the wind policy and animal spirits in a general equilibrium model," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(2), pages 2325-2334, April.
    5. Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila, 2018. "The Noise Trader Effect In A Walrasian Financial Market," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 22(1), pages 405-419, December.
    6. Chia-Lin Chang & Jukka Ilomäki & Hannu Laurila & Michael McAleer, 2019. "Central Bank Intervention, Bubbles and Risk in Walrasian Financial Markets," Documentos de Trabajo del ICAE 2019-07, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, Instituto Complutense de Análisis Económico.
    7. ÅžimÅŸek, Alp, 2021. "The Macroeconomics of Financial Speculation," CEPR Discussion Papers 15733, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    8. Ilomäki, Jukka & Laurila, Hannu, 2018. "Animal spirits in financial markets: Experimental evidence," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 99-104.
    9. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2013. "Understanding Asset Prices," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2013-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
    10. R. Andergassen, 2003. "Rational destabilising speculation and the riding of bubbles," Working Papers 475, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    11. Cristina Cella & Andrew Ellul & Mariassunta Giannetti, 2013. "Investors' Horizons and the Amplification of Market Shocks," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(7), pages 1607-1648.
    12. repec:awi:wpaper:0567 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, January.
    14. Hirota, Shinichi & Sunder, Shyam, 2007. "Price bubbles sans dividend anchors: Evidence from laboratory stock markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 1875-1909, June.
    15. Cespa, Giovanni & Vives, Xavier, 2011. "Higher order expectations, illiquidity, and short-term trading," IESE Research Papers D/915, IESE Business School.
    16. Makarov, Igor & Rytchkov, Oleg, 2012. "Forecasting the forecasts of others: Implications for asset pricing," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 147(3), pages 941-966.
    17. Markus K. Brunnermeier & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2020. "China’s Model of Managing the Financial System," Working Papers 2020-45, Princeton University. Economics Department..
    18. Giovanni Cespa & Xavier Vives, 2011. "Expectations, Liquidity, and Short-term Trading," CESifo Working Paper Series 3390, CESifo.
    19. Liang, Hanchao & Yang, Chunpeng & Cai, Chuangqun, 2017. "Beauty contest, bounded rationality, and sentiment pricing dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 71-80.
    20. Zhou, Liyun & Yang, Chunpeng, 2019. "Stochastic investor sentiment, crowdedness and deviation of asset prices from fundamentals," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 130-140.
    21. Polk, Christopher & Lou, Dong & Huang, Shiyang, 2016. "The Booms and Busts of Beta Arbitrage," CEPR Discussion Papers 11531, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Risk; Portfolio Choice; Asset Pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sgm:jbfeuw:v:1:y:2018:i:9:p:52-59. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/somuwpl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.