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A Behavioral Approach to Modelling Household Motor Vehicle Ownership and Applications to Aggregate Policy Analysis

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  • M Ben-Akiva

    (Department of Civil Engineering and Center for Transportation Studies, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Mass, USA)

  • C F Manski

    (Department of Economics, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel)

  • L Sherman

    (Transportation and Economics Center, Booz, Allen and Hamilton, Inc, Cambridge, Mass, USA)

Abstract

A unified approach to the modelling of household motor vehicle ownership level, consumption of vehicle holdings, and vehicle use is described. The model system is founded on a utility theory of household behavior, and is implemented through probabilistic discrete choice models estimated from cross-sectional samples of households. Following the introduction of the model, an application involving forecasts of US motor vehicle sales through the mid-1980s is presented.

Suggested Citation

  • M Ben-Akiva & C F Manski & L Sherman, 1981. "A Behavioral Approach to Modelling Household Motor Vehicle Ownership and Applications to Aggregate Policy Analysis," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 13(4), pages 399-411, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:13:y:1981:i:4:p:399-411
    DOI: 10.1068/a130399
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Johnson, Terry R, 1978. "A Cross-Section Analysis of the Demand for New and Used Automobiles in the United States X1-ab," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 16(4), pages 531-548, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. W A V Clark, 1993. "Applying our Understanding: Social Science in Government and the Marketplace," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 25(1_suppl), pages 38-47, January.
    2. A. de Palma & Y. Nesterov, 2001. "Park and Ride for the Morning and Evening Commute," THEMA Working Papers 2001-16, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
    3. N/A, 1981. "Letters to the Editor," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 13(12), pages 1577-1586, December.
    4. Tam, M. L. & Lam, William H. K., 2000. "Maximum car ownership under constraints of road capacity and parking space," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 34(3), pages 145-170, April.

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