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Disequilibrium Estimation of the Demand for Copper

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  • James G. MacKinnon
  • Nancy D. Olewiler

Abstract

In this paper we estimate the demand for refined copper in the United States, taking account of the fact that, during much of the sample period, copper supplies were rationed. The model employed here, which is closely related to the Tobit model, is much simpler than those models previously used for disequilibrium estimation. Our empirical results are consistent with institutional evidence on the existence of rationing and suggest that conventional estimates of the demand for copper, which implicitly assume that the market is always in equilibrium, are severely biased.

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  • James G. MacKinnon & Nancy D. Olewiler, 1980. "Disequilibrium Estimation of the Demand for Copper," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 11(1), pages 197-211, Spring.
    • Handle: RePEc:rje:bellje:v:11:y:1980:i:spring:p:197-211
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    Cited by:

    1. Thibault Fally & James Sayre, 2018. "Commodity Trade Matters," 2018 Meeting Papers 172, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    2. Claudio Agostini, 2005. "Testing for Market Power under the Two-Price System in the U.S. Copper Industry," ILADES-UAH Working Papers inv159, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business.
    3. Sayeh Shojaeinia, 2023. "Metal market analysis: an empirical model for copper supply and demand in US market," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 36(3), pages 509-517, September.
    4. Hubbard, R Glenn & Weiner, Robert J, 1992. "Long-Term Contracting and Multiple-Price Systems," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 65(2), pages 177-198, April.
    5. Ignatius Horstmann & Sridhar Moorthy, 2003. "Advertising Spending and Quality for Services: The Role of Capacity," Quantitative Marketing and Economics (QME), Springer, vol. 1(3), pages 337-365, September.
    6. R. Glenn Hubbard & Robert J. Weiner, 1985. "Nominal Contracting and Price Flexibility in Product Markets," NBER Working Papers 1738, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Agostini, Claudio & Saavedra, Eduardo H., 2013. "Chile: Port congestion and efficient rationing in cargo transfer operations," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    8. Clinton Watkins & Michael McAleer, 2004. "Econometric modelling of non‐ferrous metal prices," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(5), pages 651-701, December.

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